Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.5%Providence

58.5%Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado -3.2

PROJECTED TOTAL170.2

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado -141

Colorado

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 84

Projected Total170.2

Projected ScoreColorado 87

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricColorado

54.2MMH Power Index52.7

115.0Offensive Efficiency112.9

113.2Defensive Efficiency112.4

1.8Net Efficiency0.5

4.0Strength of Schedule5.1

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.7

74.2Tempo71.0

55.0%Effective FG%53.0%

16.7%Turnover Rate14.6%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

37.3%Free Throw Rate37.9%

1.3Average Margin0.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–52.7), offensive efficiency (115.0–112.9), net efficiency (1.8–0.5), recent form (-1.3–-7.7).

Colorado COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (112.4–113.2), strength of schedule (5.1–4.0), ball security (14.6–16.7).

Final

Providence

88—97

Colorado

Colorado by 9 • 79.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATColorado

29-65FG34-66

45.0%FG%52.0%

6-253PT6-17

24.0%3PT%35.0%

24-31FT23-27

77.0%FT%85.0%

32Rebounds43

9Offensive Rebounds12

13Assists18

10Turnovers11

4Steals5

10Blocks1

25Fouls26

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jason Edwards	G	34	7-16	2-6	8-8	3	6	0	0	24
Jaylin Sellers	G	18	2-8	1-2	10-11	7	1	1	0	15
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	26	4-10	0-5	5-6	3	3	0	0	13
Stefan Vaaks	G	28	4-8	2-5	1-4	3	0	0	0	11
Ryan Mela	G	26	5-10	0-3	0-2	3	2	2	0	10
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	23	3-3	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	7	6
Jamier Jones	F	15	2-5	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	1	5
Cole Hargrove	F	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	2	2
Daquan Davis	G	5	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Duncan Powell	F	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	0

Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alon Michaeli	F	23	7-15	1-3	5-5	6	2	0	0	20
Elijah Malone	C	24	7-10	1-2	2-2	7	0	0	0	17
Barrington Hargress	G	34	6-12	1-3	2-2	4	11	0	0	15
Isaiah Johnson	G	22	3-6	1-3	8-9	1	1	2	0	15
Sebastian Rancik	F	27	3-8	2-4	0-0	6	2	0	0	8
Felix Kossaras	G	19	3-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	6
Bangot Dak	F	15	2-5	0-0	2-3	6	0	0	0	6
Jalin Holland	G	14	2-2	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	0	6
Josiah Sanders	G	19	1-3	0-0	2-4	4	1	3	0	4
Ian Inman	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.3Possessions79.3

111.0Offensive Efficiency122.3

122.3Defensive Efficiency111.0

-11.3Net Efficiency11.3

49.2%Effective FG%56.1%

55.2%True Shooting %61.5%

12.4%Turnover Rate14.1%

47.7%Free Throw Rate40.9%

38.5%3-Point Rate25.8%

1.30Assist / Turnover1.64

Game Summary

Colorado won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 79.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.