Tarleton State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.9%Tarleton State

89.1%Baylor

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBaylor -13.0

PROJECTED TOTAL155.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBaylor -817

Baylor

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTarleton State 71

Projected Total155.6

Projected ScoreBaylor 84

Team Comparison

Tarleton StateMetricBaylor

44.6MMH Power Index58.9

103.2Offensive Efficiency116.7

101.6Defensive Efficiency109.5

1.6Net Efficiency7.2

-2.3Strength of Schedule4.0

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.2

72.2Tempo69.7

49.0%Effective FG%54.4%

19.9%Turnover Rate16.4%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %37.5%

42.8%Free Throw Rate34.8%

1.1Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Baylor HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBaylor holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.9–44.6), offensive efficiency (116.7–103.2), net efficiency (7.2–1.6), strength of schedule (4.0–-2.3).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.6–109.5), free throw rate (42.8–34.8).

Final

Tarleton State

81—94

Baylor

Baylor by 13 • 73.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tarleton StateTEAM STATBaylor

33-64FG33-57

52.0%FG%58.0%

3-123PT11-27

25.0%3PT%41.0%

12-14FT17-20

86.0%FT%85.0%

34Rebounds21

18Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists21

21Turnovers15

8Steals10

3Blocks8

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dior Johnson	G	31	17-24	2-3	6-7	0	1	1	0	42
Freddy Hicks	G	34	4-8	0-1	5-6	3	2	1	1	13
Ocypher Owens	F	12	3-5	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	1	6
Kaia Isaac	G	36	2-6	1-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	5
Chris Mpaka	F	27	2-6	0-0	0-0	10	0	0	1	4
Leroy Kelly IV	G	16	2-4	0-2	0-0	2	1	2	0	4
Jordan Mizell	G	21	1-5	0-0	1-1	4	5	1	0	3
Cam McDowell	G	13	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	2	0	2
Andy Sigiscar	F	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Kade Douglas	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Roy Marom	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Carr	G	35	10-13	3-6	4-5	2	0	0	3	27
Isaac Williams IV	G	25	6-8	1-1	3-4	1	5	1	1	16
Obi Agbim	G	32	5-8	3-6	1-1	1	5	0	1	14
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	33	5-10	2-4	1-2	7	5	2	1	13
Tounde Yessoufou	G	22	3-9	0-4	6-6	3	2	4	1	12
Michael Rataj	G	36	2-5	0-2	2-2	4	4	3	1	6
JJ White	G	9	2-4	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Caden Powell	C	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.1Possessions73.1

110.8Offensive Efficiency128.6

128.6Defensive Efficiency110.8

-17.8Net Efficiency17.8

53.9%Effective FG%67.5%

57.3%True Shooting %70.7%

28.5%Turnover Rate20.7%

21.9%Free Throw Rate35.1%

18.8%3-Point Rate47.4%

0.52Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

Baylor won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 73.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.