Western Illinois

5-26

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.6%Western Illinois

98.4%California Baptist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -26.3

PROJECTED TOTAL140.8

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -6150

California Baptist

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Illinois 57

Projected Total140.8

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 84

Team Comparison

Western IllinoisMetricCalifornia Baptist

25.9MMH Power Index58.3

96.2Offensive Efficiency106.5

113.9Defensive Efficiency99.0

-17.7Net Efficiency7.5

-2.4Strength of Schedule1.8

-26.3Last 10 Net Efficiency11.0

67.5Tempo68.2

45.4%Effective FG%48.8%

17.5%Turnover Rate17.9%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %37.0%

37.5%Free Throw Rate37.0%

-11.9Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY98.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–25.9), offensive efficiency (106.5–96.2), defensive efficiency (99.0–113.9), net efficiency (7.5–-17.7).

Western Illinois COUNTERS WITHball security (17.5–17.9), free throw rate (37.5–37.0).

Final

Western Illinois

59—69

California Baptist

California Baptist by 10 • 62.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western IllinoisTEAM STATCalifornia Baptist

21-50FG23-67

42.0%FG%34.0%

2-103PT7-30

20.0%3PT%23.0%

15-21FT16-20

71.0%FT%80.0%

29Rebounds50

4Offensive Rebounds21

2Assists6

8Turnovers6

4Steals4

—Blocks—

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

Western Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Antwaun Massey	F	36	13-18	0-0	3-3	5	0	3	29
Isaiah Griffin	F	36	2-6	0-1	6-10	1	1	0	10
Lucas Lorenzen	G	36	2-10	1-5	4-6	6	1	0	9
Marcus Pigram	G	15	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	3
Francis Okwuosah	F	28	1-6	0-2	0-0	7	0	1	2
Makai Kvamme	G	20	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2
Karyiek Dixon	F	13	0-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	2
Tyran Cook	G	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2
Goanar Biliew	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	36	6-16	2-6	8-8	4	2	0	22
Martel Williams	G	36	5-17	1-7	2-2	11	1	1	13
Devon Malcolm	F	21	5-6	1-2	0-0	4	1	2	11
Jayden Jackson	G	37	2-12	2-9	2-3	3	2	0	8
Jordan Muller	G	19	2-5	1-3	2-2	0	0	0	7
Bradey Henige	F	20	2-3	0-0	1-3	8	0	0	5
Thomas Ndong	F	21	1-5	0-0	1-2	14	0	1	3
Monty Bowser	G	6	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0
Nate Garcia	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.8Possessions62.8

93.9Offensive Efficiency109.9

109.9Defensive Efficiency93.9

-15.9Net Efficiency15.9

44.0%Effective FG%39.6%

49.2%True Shooting %45.1%

12.5%Turnover Rate9.8%

42.0%Free Throw Rate29.9%

20.0%3-Point Rate44.8%

0.25Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

California Baptist won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 62.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.