Utah Valley

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

69.6%Utah Valley

30.4%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah Valley -5.2

PROJECTED TOTAL148.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah Valley -229

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah Valley 77

Projected Total148.5

Projected ScoreFresno State 72

Team Comparison

Utah ValleyMetricFresno State

59.1MMH Power Index47.1

113.4Offensive Efficiency104.9

97.3Defensive Efficiency104.9

16.1Net Efficiency0.0

-3.3Strength of Schedule1.5

6.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

70.6Tempo69.4

56.0%Effective FG%51.3%

19.9%Turnover Rate18.2%

36.2%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

37.3%Free Throw Rate35.5%

11.4Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah Valley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah Valley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–47.1), offensive efficiency (113.4–104.9), defensive efficiency (97.3–104.9), net efficiency (16.1–0.0).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.5–-3.3), ball security (18.2–19.9).

Final

Utah Valley

74—75

Fresno State

Fresno State by 1 • 70.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah ValleyTEAM STATFresno State

26-50FG26-46

52.0%FG%57.0%

7-183PT8-17

39.0%3PT%47.0%

15-28FT15-22

54.0%FT%68.0%

29Rebounds28

7Offensive Rebounds3

15Assists12

15Turnovers17

12Steals11

2Blocks3

18Fouls24

Player Box Score

Utah Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hayden Welling	F	25	6-12	0-1	5-10	2	1	3	0	17
Jackson Holcombe	G	28	4-7	0-0	4-6	3	3	3	1	12
Trevan Leonhardt	G	37	3-8	2-5	2-2	4	7	1	0	10
Tyler Hendricks	G	28	4-8	1-4	1-2	5	1	0	0	10
Sherman Weatherspoon IV	G	21	3-5	3-5	0-0	1	0	1	0	9
Braden Housley	G	25	3-5	1-3	0-1	0	0	1	0	7
Isaac Davis	F	19	3-4	0-0	0-3	6	3	2	0	6
Isaac Hawkins	F	13	0-0	0-0	3-4	2	0	1	1	3
Noah Taitz	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zaon Collins	G	35	10-12	2-3	5-6	2	3	2	0	27
Jake Heidbreder	G	39	6-11	2-6	4-6	2	1	3	0	18
Jac Mani	F	22	4-8	0-1	6-7	7	3	0	0	14
Cameron Faas	G	14	2-2	2-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
DJ Stickman	G	19	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	1	2	2	3
DeShawn Gory	F	14	1-4	1-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
Wilson Jacques	C	17	1-4	0-0	0-1	2	0	2	0	2
Makhan Diouf	F	3	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Gasper Kocevar	C	19	0-1	0-0	0-2	3	2	1	0	0
Bastien Rieber	G	18	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.9Possessions70.9

104.4Offensive Efficiency105.8

105.8Defensive Efficiency104.4

-1.4Net Efficiency1.4

59.0%Effective FG%65.2%

58.5%True Shooting %66.4%

21.0%Turnover Rate24.1%

56.0%Free Throw Rate47.8%

36.0%3-Point Rate37.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Fresno State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 70.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.