Detroit Mercy

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.7%Detroit Mercy

84.3%Toledo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -11.2

PROJECTED TOTAL159.4

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -537

Toledo

19-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDetroit Mercy 74

Projected Total159.4

Projected ScoreToledo 85

Team Comparison

Detroit MercyMetricToledo

48.3MMH Power Index58.8

110.2Offensive Efficiency116.0

110.4Defensive Efficiency109.6

-0.2Net Efficiency6.4

-1.9Strength of Schedule2.3

3.5Last 10 Net Efficiency10.2

70.0Tempo69.8

50.0%Effective FG%55.1%

16.1%Turnover Rate14.6%

34.1%Offensive Rebound %30.4%

35.1%Free Throw Rate30.3%

-0.1Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–48.3), offensive efficiency (116.0–110.2), defensive efficiency (109.6–110.4), net efficiency (6.4–-0.2).

Detroit Mercy COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (34.1–30.4), free throw rate (35.1–30.3).

Final

Detroit Mercy

83—90

Toledo

Toledo by 7 • 76.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Detroit MercyTEAM STATToledo

32-71FG31-59

45.0%FG%53.0%

8-253PT7-25

32.0%3PT%28.0%

11-17FT21-30

65.0%FT%70.0%

37Rebounds39

15Offensive Rebounds11

13Assists20

12Turnovers14

6Steals6

2Blocks3

24Fouls17

Player Box Score

Detroit Mercy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Orlando Lovejoy	G	31	7-15	0-1	4-4	1	5	1	0	18
TJ Nadeau	G	28	6-10	3-6	0-0	5	2	1	1	15
Ayden Carter	G	19	5-7	1-1	1-2	6	1	1	0	12
Lance Stone	G	19	3-6	3-6	2-2	2	2	0	0	11
Tyler Spratt	G	23	3-10	0-4	2-2	8	0	2	0	8
London Maiden	F	14	3-6	0-0	1-3	1	0	0	0	7
Je'kel Cotton	G	13	2-4	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Legend Geeter	F	23	1-3	0-0	1-4	4	1	0	1	3
Nate Johnson	G	16	1-6	0-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Keshawn Fisher	G	11	1-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Xavier Istomin-Monroe	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leroy Blyden Jr.	G	39	7-15	3-6	3-4	3	7	2	0	20
Sonny Wilson	G	37	5-12	1-5	7-11	6	5	2	1	18
Sean Craig	F	37	5-8	1-3	6-6	6	4	0	1	17
Austin Parks	C	26	7-7	0-0	3-4	7	3	0	0	17
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	32	4-9	1-5	2-5	5	0	0	0	11
Will James Jr.	G	3	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	1	2	0	3
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	15	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Mynor Strong	G	9	1-4	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
London Praytor	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Tyler Ode	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.2Possessions76.2

108.9Offensive Efficiency118.1

118.1Defensive Efficiency108.9

-9.2Net Efficiency9.2

50.7%Effective FG%58.5%

52.5%True Shooting %61.4%

15.8%Turnover Rate18.4%

23.9%Free Throw Rate50.8%

35.2%3-Point Rate42.4%

1.08Assist / Turnover1.43

Game Summary

Toledo won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 76.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.