Jacksonville

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

75.1%Jacksonville

24.9%VMI

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville -5.7

PROJECTED TOTAL148.2

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville -302

VMI

5-26

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville 77

Projected Total148.2

Projected ScoreVMI 71

Team Comparison

JacksonvilleMetricVMI

43.6MMH Power Index29.1

109.8Offensive Efficiency105.1

110.3Defensive Efficiency117.4

-0.5Net Efficiency-12.3

-4.8Strength of Schedule-5.4

-3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-21.9

66.6Tempo66.2

51.7%Effective FG%48.9%

16.9%Turnover Rate14.7%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %26.4%

33.9%Free Throw Rate29.9%

-0.3Average Margin-8.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.6–29.1), offensive efficiency (109.8–105.1), defensive efficiency (110.3–117.4), net efficiency (-0.5–-12.3).

VMI COUNTERS WITHball security (14.7–16.9).

Final

Jacksonville

69—67

VMI

Jacksonville by 2 • 66.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

JacksonvilleTEAM STATVMI

27-55FG25-55

49.0%FG%45.0%

10-253PT8-21

40.0%3PT%38.0%

5-10FT9-11

50.0%FT%82.0%

33Rebounds28

12Offensive Rebounds9

15Assists15

19Turnovers15

8Steals10

2Blocks2

14Fouls12

Player Box Score

Jacksonville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chris Arias	G	31	8-15	8-12	0-0	6	2	2	0	24
Jaylen Jones	G	34	7-9	1-3	2-5	4	2	0	0	17
Evan Sterck	G	36	4-7	1-3	0-0	3	5	3	0	9
Donovan Rivers	F	22	3-6	0-0	3-5	8	2	0	0	9
Jason Thirdkill Jr.	F	21	2-7	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	1	4
Jaylen Jordon	F	11	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	4
Allen Udemadu	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Hayden Wood	G	20	0-4	0-4	0-0	3	1	0	1	0
Chris Lockett Jr.	G	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Enrico Borio	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Simon Wheeler	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

VMI

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Johnson	F	34	7-13	2-7	2-2	6	3	1	0	18
AJ Clark	G	30	6-9	1-1	2-2	5	0	2	1	15
Mario Tatum Jr.	G	27	4-8	1-3	4-5	1	1	1	0	13
Linus Holmstrom	G	29	3-8	2-4	0-0	2	3	0	0	8
Tan Yildizoglu	G	31	2-8	0-2	0-0	7	3	5	0	4
Cal Liston	F	20	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	4	1	0	3
Mason Hagedorn	F	6	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jaylen Pazon	G	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Kaden Stuckey	F	13	0-2	0-1	1-2	4	1	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

66.5Possessions66.5

103.8Offensive Efficiency100.8

100.8Defensive Efficiency103.8

3.0Net Efficiency-3.0

58.2%Effective FG%52.7%

57.7%True Shooting %55.6%

28.5%Turnover Rate22.7%

18.2%Free Throw Rate20.0%

45.5%3-Point Rate38.2%

0.79Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Jacksonville won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 66.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.