UTSA

5-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.0%UTSA

93.0%Denver

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDenver -16.6

PROJECTED TOTAL162.0

MODEL MONEYLINEDenver -1329

Denver

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUTSA 73

Projected Total162.0

Projected ScoreDenver 89

Team Comparison

UTSAMetricDenver

30.5MMH Power Index49.1

99.0Offensive Efficiency119.2

115.0Defensive Efficiency119.2

-16.0Net Efficiency0.0

-1.2Strength of Schedule-2.6

-17.6Last 10 Net Efficiency4.0

70.2Tempo69.5

45.9%Effective FG%55.3%

17.0%Turnover Rate14.2%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %30.9%

29.9%Free Throw Rate35.3%

-11.3Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Denver HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDenver holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.1–30.5), offensive efficiency (119.2–99.0), net efficiency (0.0–-16.0), recent form (4.0–-17.6).

UTSA COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (115.0–119.2), strength of schedule (-1.2–-2.6).

Final

UTSA

84—79

Denver

UTSA by 5 • 65.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UTSATEAM STATDenver

29-56FG27-60

52.0%FG%45.0%

11-233PT13-32

48.0%3PT%41.0%

15-20FT12-14

75.0%FT%86.0%

37Rebounds27

11Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists14

10Turnovers7

2Steals4

2Blocks4

16Fouls16

Player Box Score

UTSA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Baboucarr Njie	F	31	9-17	0-1	5-7	12	0	1	1	23
Jamir Simpson	G	39	7-13	4-8	2-2	3	0	1	0	20
Austin Nunez	G	22	5-11	2-6	4-5	2	2	0	0	16
Dorian Hayes	G	37	3-8	3-6	0-0	2	5	0	0	9
Kaidon Rayfield	F	17	2-3	0-0	2-4	3	0	0	0	6
Matheo Coffi	F	30	2-2	1-1	0-0	9	1	0	0	5
Brent Moss	G	12	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Pierce Spencer	G	10	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	3	0	0	2
Mo Njie	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Denver

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carson Johnson	G	39	9-20	4-11	7-7	5	4	1	0	29
Jeremiah Burke	F	36	8-15	4-8	3-3	4	2	0	0	23
Julius Rollins	G	31	2-7	2-6	2-2	5	2	0	2	8
Zane Nelson	G	15	3-5	2-3	0-1	2	2	1	0	8
Shaun Wysocki	F	25	3-7	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Logan Kinsey	F	31	2-5	1-1	0-1	5	3	1	0	5
Gabe Oldham	F	17	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Didier Maleng	F	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	2	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.1Possessions65.1

129.0Offensive Efficiency121.4

121.4Defensive Efficiency129.0

7.7Net Efficiency-7.7

61.6%Effective FG%55.8%

64.1%True Shooting %59.3%

15.5%Turnover Rate10.7%

35.7%Free Throw Rate23.3%

41.1%3-Point Rate53.3%

1.10Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

UTSA won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 65.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.