St. Thomas-Minnesota

24-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.0%St. Thomas-Minnesota

40.0%Southeast Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. Thomas-Minnesota -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.1

MODEL MONEYLINESt. Thomas-Minnesota -150

Southeast Missouri State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSt. Thomas-Minnesota 76

Projected Total151.1

Projected ScoreSoutheast Missouri State 75

Team Comparison

St. Thomas-MinnesotaMetricSoutheast Missouri State

59.8MMH Power Index51.6

116.8Offensive Efficiency105.3

102.2Defensive Efficiency99.8

14.6Net Efficiency5.5

-3.6Strength of Schedule-2.4

14.7Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

70.0Tempo70.8

59.2%Effective FG%50.6%

13.9%Turnover Rate16.6%

22.1%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

35.2%Free Throw Rate39.3%

10.2Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. Thomas-Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. Thomas-Minnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–51.6), offensive efficiency (116.8–105.3), net efficiency (14.6–5.5), recent form (14.7–6.4).

Southeast Missouri State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.8–102.2), strength of schedule (-2.4–-3.6), offensive rebounding (29.6–22.1).

Final

St. Thomas-Minnesota

84—72

Southeast Missouri State

St. Thomas-Minnesota by 12 • 76.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

St. Thomas-MinnesotaTEAM STATSoutheast Missouri State

27-46FG30-67

59.0%FG%45.0%

8-183PT5-18

44.0%3PT%28.0%

22-26FT7-12

85.0%FT%58.0%

29Rebounds27

1Offensive Rebounds6

12Assists11

16Turnovers13

7Steals6

2Blocks2

15Fouls21

Player Box Score

St. Thomas-Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nolan Minessale	G	36	7-12	2-3	8-10	6	4	0	0	24
Isaiah Johnson-Arigu	F	25	5-6	2-3	9-10	4	0	1	2	21
Jermaine Coleman	G	24	5-8	3-6	0-0	1	0	0	0	13
Nick Janowski	G	29	3-8	1-4	3-4	5	1	0	0	10
Austin Herro	G	29	4-4	0-0	2-2	5	5	3	0	10
Ben Oosterbaan	F	21	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	1	1	0	2
Ryan Dufault	G	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Carter Bjerke	F	9	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Ryan Lafferty	G	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	2	0	0

Southeast Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Luke Almodovar	G	29	6-15	3-6	5-5	5	1	0	0	20
BJ Ward	G	29	9-18	1-6	0-0	3	2	0	0	19
Brendan Terry	F	22	7-11	0-0	0-3	3	2	1	1	14
Marqueas Bell	G	30	5-10	0-0	1-2	10	5	3	0	11
Braxton Stacker	G	30	2-8	1-4	0-0	2	0	1	1	5
Troy Cole Jr.	G	16	1-4	0-1	1-2	1	0	1	0	3
PJ Farmer	G	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
David Idada	C	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Landren Blocker	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Blaize Sagna	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Elliot Lowndes	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.6Possessions76.6

109.7Offensive Efficiency94.0

94.0Defensive Efficiency109.7

15.7Net Efficiency-15.7

67.4%Effective FG%48.5%

72.0%True Shooting %49.5%

21.8%Turnover Rate16.3%

56.5%Free Throw Rate17.9%

39.1%3-Point Rate26.9%

0.75Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

St. Thomas-Minnesota won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 76.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.