SE Louisiana

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.7%SE Louisiana

76.3%Mississippi State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMississippi State -7.4

PROJECTED TOTAL145.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMississippi State -322

Mississippi State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSE Louisiana 69

Projected Total145.6

Projected ScoreMississippi State 77

Team Comparison

SE LouisianaMetricMississippi State

38.7MMH Power Index44.6

98.4Offensive Efficiency107.4

106.4Defensive Efficiency113.2

-8.0Net Efficiency-5.8

0.2Strength of Schedule5.0

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.5

63.9Tempo72.3

47.0%Effective FG%51.6%

18.5%Turnover Rate16.1%

29.4%Offensive Rebound %29.8%

38.9%Free Throw Rate30.9%

-5.1Average Margin-4.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mississippi State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMississippi State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–38.7), offensive efficiency (107.4–98.4), net efficiency (-5.8–-8.0), strength of schedule (5.0–0.2).

SE Louisiana COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.4–113.2), recent form (-11.9–-17.5), free throw rate (38.9–30.9).

Final

SE Louisiana

68—75

Mississippi State

Mississippi State by 7 • 73.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SE LouisianaTEAM STATMississippi State

24-66FG25-55

36.0%FG%45.0%

4-253PT9-24

16.0%3PT%38.0%

16-18FT16-23

89.0%FT%70.0%

33Rebounds43

10Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists18

10Turnovers16

12Steals9

3Blocks6

20Fouls13

Player Box Score

SE Louisiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremy Elyzee	F	32	7-15	0-3	5-5	7	6	3	1	19
Jalen Forrest	G	25	5-11	1-4	5-6	3	0	0	0	16
Jaiden Lawrence	G	30	1-6	1-6	6-7	6	1	3	0	9
Isaiah Gaines	F	24	4-6	0-1	0-0	5	4	1	1	8
Seth Jones	G	25	3-9	0-6	0-0	2	1	2	0	6
Makhi Myles	F	13	2-5	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
CJ Booker	PG	17	1-9	1-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	3
Ethan Pickett	G	19	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Ubong-Abasi Etim	C	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	0
Ahmed Essahaty	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	32	7-10	3-4	0-0	6	4	2	0	17
Josh Hubbard	G	31	5-12	2-7	3-3	4	4	2	0	15
Jayden Epps	G	17	3-6	1-4	3-4	1	2	0	0	10
Ja'Borri McGhee	G	27	3-6	1-2	1-3	3	1	2	0	8
King Grace	G	10	1-3	1-2	5-5	0	1	1	0	8
Sergej Macura	F	16	3-6	0-0	1-2	6	1	0	1	7
Achor Achor	F	13	1-3	1-3	2-2	7	1	1	1	5
Brandon Walker	F	9	1-6	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	3
Quincy Ballard	C	17	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	2	2
Jamarion Davis-Fleming	F	15	0-0	0-0	0-2	5	2	0	2	0
Dellquan Warren	G	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.8Possessions73.8

92.1Offensive Efficiency101.6

101.6Defensive Efficiency92.1

-9.5Net Efficiency9.5

39.4%Effective FG%53.6%

45.6%True Shooting %56.9%

13.4%Turnover Rate21.9%

27.3%Free Throw Rate41.8%

37.9%3-Point Rate43.6%

1.30Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Mississippi State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 73.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.