Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.7%Montana State

76.3%Boise State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -7.3

PROJECTED TOTAL152.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -322

Boise State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 73

Projected Total152.6

Projected ScoreBoise State 80

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricBoise State

53.6MMH Power Index59.5

114.4Offensive Efficiency113.9

104.9Defensive Efficiency107.1

9.5Net Efficiency6.8

-3.7Strength of Schedule4.2

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

68.1Tempo68.6

55.1%Effective FG%52.7%

14.7%Turnover Rate17.0%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %33.8%

30.7%Free Throw Rate42.7%

6.5Average Margin4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (114.4–113.9), defensive efficiency (104.9–107.1), net efficiency (9.5–6.8), shooting efficiency (55.1–52.7).

Boise State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (59.5–53.6), strength of schedule (4.2–-3.7), recent form (5.2–4.9).

Final

Montana State

58—62

Boise State

Boise State by 4 • 63.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATBoise State

22-59FG17-51

37.0%FG%33.0%

8-263PT8-28

31.0%3PT%29.0%

6-11FT20-22

55.0%FT%91.0%

36Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds7

6Assists10

9Turnovers8

4Steals5

2Blocks1

19Fouls12

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Davian Brown	G	25	5-11	3-7	3-4	4	1	1	0	16
Patrick McMahon	G	29	4-13	1-2	0-3	6	1	0	0	9
Jeremiah Davis	G	22	3-5	2-4	0-0	4	1	0	0	8
Jed Miller	G	35	3-13	1-8	0-0	2	1	1	0	7
Waka Mbatch	F	11	2-4	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	1	5
Chris Hodges	F	29	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	4
Jaden Steppe	F	11	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Cavin Holden	G	19	1-4	1-3	0-0	3	0	1	0	3
Christian King	F	19	1-4	0-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	2

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javan Buchanan	F	32	5-11	2-5	7-7	9	0	2	0	19
Andrew Meadow	F	27	5-9	4-7	0-0	4	0	0	0	14
Drew Fielder	C	32	4-8	0-1	5-6	5	1	0	1	13
Dylan Andrews	G	31	1-7	0-3	8-9	5	5	1	0	10
Pearson Carmichael	F	17	2-6	2-6	0-0	2	0	1	0	6
RJ Keene II	G	27	0-6	0-4	0-0	6	2	1	0	0
Aginaldo Neto	G	13	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Spencer Ahrens	F	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Dominic Parolin	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Julian Bowie	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.4Possessions63.4

91.5Offensive Efficiency97.8

97.8Defensive Efficiency91.5

-6.3Net Efficiency6.3

44.1%Effective FG%41.2%

45.2%True Shooting %50.4%

14.0%Turnover Rate12.8%

18.6%Free Throw Rate43.1%

44.1%3-Point Rate54.9%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Boise State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 63.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.