Morgan State

14-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.3%Morgan State

80.7%Mercyhurst

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMercyhurst -10.4

PROJECTED TOTAL145.8

MODEL MONEYLINEMercyhurst -418

Mercyhurst

17-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMorgan State 68

Projected Total145.8

Projected ScoreMercyhurst 78

Team Comparison

Morgan StateMetricMercyhurst

37.2MMH Power Index45.5

105.1Offensive Efficiency105.2

109.3Defensive Efficiency102.2

-4.2Net Efficiency3.0

-9.5Strength of Schedule-5.7

2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

71.6Tempo65.9

48.6%Effective FG%50.5%

17.5%Turnover Rate14.4%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %26.8%

42.9%Free Throw Rate25.4%

-3.0Average Margin2.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mercyhurst HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMercyhurst holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.5–37.2), offensive efficiency (105.2–105.1), defensive efficiency (102.2–109.3), net efficiency (3.0–-4.2).

Morgan State COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.3–26.8), free throw rate (42.9–25.4).

Final

Morgan State

72—86

Mercyhurst

Mercyhurst by 14 • 67.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Morgan StateTEAM STATMercyhurst

19-51FG30-57

37.0%FG%53.0%

2-93PT9-21

22.0%3PT%43.0%

32-38FT17-28

84.0%FT%61.0%

37Rebounds30

18Offensive Rebounds13

10Assists25

16Turnovers11

4Steals4

2Blocks6

25Fouls29

Player Box Score

Morgan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rob Lawson	G	36	3-13	0-3	10-11	2	4	3	0	16
Walter Peggs Jr.	G	21	4-5	2-2	5-6	3	1	0	0	15
Christian Meeks	G	32	4-5	0-0	2-4	7	1	0	0	10
Alfred Worrell Jr.	G	30	1-8	0-4	7-8	7	2	0	0	9
Elijah Davis	G	18	3-6	0-0	2-2	1	0	1	0	8
Christian Oliver	C	14	2-5	0-0	1-1	4	0	0	1	5
Dallas James	C	7	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
David Bumpass	G	9	1-5	0-0	1-2	1	1	0	0	3
Manok Lual	F	11	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Eugene Alvin	F	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Marland Harris	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	1	0
Breon Barnett	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jayden Socka	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Mercyhurst

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bernie Blunt III	G	36	6-15	3-8	4-8	2	5	1	0	19
Jake Lemelman	G	34	6-10	3-4	3-3	1	3	0	0	18
Mykolas Ivanauskas	F	23	8-10	1-1	0-1	5	0	0	1	17
Qadir Martin	F	33	5-5	0-0	2-6	4	1	0	3	12
Cameron Johnson	F	14	3-5	1-1	3-4	6	1	0	1	10
Christian Gamble	G	23	1-5	1-4	2-2	6	7	0	0	5
Deshaun Jackson Jr.	G	21	1-4	0-0	1-2	1	4	2	1	3
Sean Lang	G	7	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	2	0	0	2
James Thomas	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Vladimir Pavlovic	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Kaden Fuhrmann	G	2	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.7Possessions67.7

106.4Offensive Efficiency127.0

127.0Defensive Efficiency106.4

-20.7Net Efficiency20.7

39.2%Effective FG%60.5%

52.1%True Shooting %61.2%

23.9%Turnover Rate16.1%

74.5%Free Throw Rate49.1%

17.6%3-Point Rate36.8%

0.63Assist / Turnover2.27

Game Summary

Mercyhurst won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 67.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.