Texas Southern

12-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.7%Texas Southern

81.3%Texas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -10.2

PROJECTED TOTAL147.0

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -435

Texas State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas Southern 68

Projected Total147.0

Projected ScoreTexas State 79

Team Comparison

Texas SouthernMetricTexas State

40.8MMH Power Index49.4

104.2Offensive Efficiency107.7

106.7Defensive Efficiency103.4

-2.5Net Efficiency4.3

-6.3Strength of Schedule-4.7

3.5Last 10 Net Efficiency9.1

69.8Tempo68.6

50.3%Effective FG%51.3%

18.4%Turnover Rate18.4%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

39.3%Free Throw Rate36.0%

-1.8Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–40.8), offensive efficiency (107.7–104.2), defensive efficiency (103.4–106.7), net efficiency (4.3–-2.5).

Texas Southern COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (39.3–36.0).

Final

Texas Southern

67—77

Texas State

Texas State by 10 • 71.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas SouthernTEAM STATTexas State

23-54FG24-45

43.0%FG%53.0%

3-123PT5-15

25.0%3PT%33.0%

18-29FT24-32

62.0%FT%75.0%

28Rebounds35

11Offensive Rebounds8

5Assists12

16Turnovers17

11Steals10

3Blocks4

20Fouls21

Player Box Score

Texas Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Troy Hupstead	F	31	6-13	0-3	7-10	9	0	1	1	19
Zaire Hayes	G	20	6-8	2-2	3-5	0	0	0	0	17
Alex Anderson	G	23	3-5	0-1	4-8	4	1	2	0	10
Anthony Andrews	F	15	2-5	1-1	0-0	3	0	1	1	5
Zytarious Mortle	G	16	2-7	0-3	0-2	3	0	1	0	4
Jaylen Wysinger	G	14	1-4	0-2	2-2	1	1	2	0	4
Ahmed Nedal Abdelrahman	G	17	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	2	0	2
Duane Posey	G	15	1-5	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Kolby Granger	G	10	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	1	0	2
Jordan Gorecki	C	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Cameron Patterson	G	22	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	3	1	0	0
Josh Akpovwa	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Drone	G	26	5-10	1-3	8-10	1	3	3	0	19
DJ Hall	F	28	8-12	0-0	0-0	7	2	2	0	16
Makai Willis	C	22	4-4	0-0	4-4	3	2	0	0	12
Kyndall Davis	G	22	2-4	2-4	3-4	7	0	1	0	9
Tay Knox	C	18	1-1	0-0	5-8	5	0	0	2	7
Dimp Pernell	G	14	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	5
Jalen Bolden	G	10	2-5	1-2	0-2	2	0	1	0	5
Franck Emmou	G	30	0-5	0-4	4-4	4	1	2	1	4
Kaden Gumbs	G	30	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	3	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.0Possessions71.0

94.4Offensive Efficiency108.5

108.5Defensive Efficiency94.4

-14.1Net Efficiency14.1

45.4%Effective FG%58.9%

49.4%True Shooting %64.0%

22.0%Turnover Rate24.6%

53.7%Free Throw Rate71.1%

22.2%3-Point Rate33.3%

0.31Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Texas State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 71.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.