North Dakota

18-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.3%North Dakota

55.7%UC Riverside

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Riverside -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL154.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Riverside -126

UC Riverside

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota 76

Projected Total154.8

Projected ScoreUC Riverside 78

Team Comparison

North DakotaMetricUC Riverside

43.7MMH Power Index41.2

109.2Offensive Efficiency103.1

110.2Defensive Efficiency110.1

-1.0Net Efficiency-7.0

-3.4Strength of Schedule0.5

-7.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.1

70.1Tempo70.7

50.1%Effective FG%49.8%

14.0%Turnover Rate18.5%

28.9%Offensive Rebound %28.5%

37.5%Free Throw Rate35.2%

-0.7Average Margin-4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.7–41.2), offensive efficiency (109.2–103.1), net efficiency (-1.0–-7.0), shooting efficiency (50.1–49.8).

UC Riverside COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.1–110.2), strength of schedule (0.5–-3.4), recent form (-5.1–-7.2).

Final

North Dakota

76—74

UC Riverside

North Dakota by 2 • 74.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North DakotaTEAM STATUC Riverside

30-65FG26-53

46.0%FG%49.0%

9-243PT9-27

38.0%3PT%33.0%

7-14FT13-21

50.0%FT%62.0%

32Rebounds39

10Offensive Rebounds8

9Assists15

11Turnovers21

13Steals4

1Blocks3

20Fouls15

Player Box Score

North Dakota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Greyson Uelmen	G	23	8-14	0-2	2-2	3	1	1	0	18
Marley Curtis	F	24	5-9	3-5	2-4	3	1	3	0	15
Zach Kraft	G	27	5-8	4-7	0-1	2	0	2	0	14
Garrett Anderson	G	32	4-8	2-3	0-0	6	1	1	0	10
Eli King	G	27	4-8	0-2	2-3	6	1	4	1	10
Anthony Smith III	G	19	2-7	0-2	1-1	1	4	0	0	5
George Natsvlishvili	F	21	2-3	0-0	0-1	4	0	0	0	4
Josh Jones	C	14	0-2	0-1	0-2	2	1	1	0	0
Micah Curtis	F	11	0-5	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Matthew Bothun	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Riverside

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marqui Worthy Jr.	G	39	6-12	2-6	6-7	6	7	1	1	20
Dylan Godfrey	F	16	4-6	4-5	2-3	2	0	0	1	14
Andrew Henderson	G	34	3-12	1-8	5-10	6	2	0	0	12
Jailen Daniel-Dalton	F	39	5-11	1-5	0-1	6	2	0	0	11
Osiris Grady	F	40	5-6	0-1	0-0	11	1	0	0	10
BJ Kolly	F	18	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	2	1	4
De'Undrae Perteete Jr.	G	12	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	3
Denzel Hines	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ben Waller	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.4Possessions74.4

102.2Offensive Efficiency99.5

99.5Defensive Efficiency102.2

2.7Net Efficiency-2.7

53.1%Effective FG%57.5%

53.0%True Shooting %58.8%

15.1%Turnover Rate27.6%

21.5%Free Throw Rate39.6%

36.9%3-Point Rate50.9%

0.82Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

North Dakota won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 74.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.