Pacific

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.1%Pacific

61.9%Cal State Fullerton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Fullerton -3.0

PROJECTED TOTAL155.9

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Fullerton -162

Cal State Fullerton

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePacific 76

Projected Total155.9

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 79

Team Comparison

PacificMetricCal State Fullerton

49.6MMH Power Index49.4

109.9Offensive Efficiency108.8

104.0Defensive Efficiency107.1

5.9Net Efficiency1.7

-1.5Strength of Schedule-1.2

-5.3Last 10 Net Efficiency2.7

66.2Tempo76.3

53.5%Effective FG%52.6%

19.7%Turnover Rate15.1%

35.3%Offensive Rebound %25.5%

30.9%Free Throw Rate39.6%

3.9Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Pacific HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPacific holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.6–49.4), offensive efficiency (109.9–108.8), defensive efficiency (104.0–107.1), net efficiency (5.9–1.7).

Cal State Fullerton COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.2–-1.5), recent form (2.7–-5.3), ball security (15.1–19.7).

Final

Pacific

85—73

Cal State Fullerton

Pacific by 12 • 78.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PacificTEAM STATCal State Fullerton

32-57FG25-74

56.0%FG%34.0%

7-153PT6-25

47.0%3PT%24.0%

14-17FT17-22

82.0%FT%77.0%

47Rebounds33

7Offensive Rebounds12

12Assists10

19Turnovers7

4Steals10

2Blocks3

21Fouls16

Player Box Score

Pacific

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Wainwright	G	35	9-15	2-5	0-0	5	1	0	0	20
Jaion Pitt	F	21	6-7	1-1	3-4	4	3	0	0	16
Jaden Clayton	G	25	3-6	1-2	3-3	2	3	2	0	10
Elias Ralph	F	27	2-6	1-2	3-3	7	0	1	2	8
KC Ibekwe	C	23	4-5	0-0	0-0	9	1	0	0	8
Isaac Jack	F	15	3-3	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	8
Alexis Marmolejos	G	24	1-3	1-3	3-4	4	1	0	0	6
Justin Rochelin	G	10	2-4	1-1	0-1	8	0	0	0	5
Kajus Kublickas	G	19	2-8	0-1	0-0	1	3	1	0	4
Emmanuel Manyuon	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryce Cofield	G	24	6-15	1-2	5-8	5	0	1	1	18
Jaden Henderson	G	24	3-10	1-3	5-6	3	2	1	1	12
Joshua Ward	G	30	4-12	1-7	1-1	4	2	2	0	10
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	24	3-6	1-4	3-3	1	0	1	0	10
KJ Garris	G	15	3-6	2-3	1-1	6	2	0	0	9
Christian Williams	G	21	2-4	0-1	2-2	4	2	2	0	6
Landon Seaman	F	20	3-11	0-2	0-1	4	1	1	0	6
Kendrick De Luna	F	22	1-6	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	1	2
Davis White	G	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Bailey Nunn	G	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.3Possessions78.3

108.6Offensive Efficiency93.2

93.2Defensive Efficiency108.6

15.3Net Efficiency-15.3

62.3%Effective FG%37.8%

65.3%True Shooting %43.2%

24.7%Turnover Rate8.8%

29.8%Free Throw Rate29.7%

26.3%3-Point Rate33.8%

0.63Assist / Turnover1.43

Game Summary

Pacific won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 78.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.