Nicholls

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.5%Nicholls

83.5%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -11.2

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -506

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNicholls 74

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreMurray State 85

Team Comparison

NichollsMetricMurray State

43.6MMH Power Index53.6

105.3Offensive Efficiency115.0

109.0Defensive Efficiency111.0

-3.7Net Efficiency4.0

-0.4Strength of Schedule3.5

-4.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

68.7Tempo72.3

51.0%Effective FG%54.0%

17.3%Turnover Rate16.3%

28.5%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

35.3%Free Throw Rate39.1%

-2.5Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–43.6), offensive efficiency (115.0–105.3), net efficiency (4.0–-3.7), strength of schedule (3.5–-0.4).

Nicholls COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.0–111.0), recent form (-4.7–-9.5).

Final

Nicholls

79—99

Murray State

Murray State by 20 • 75.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NichollsTEAM STATMurray State

30-72FG31-53

42.0%FG%58.0%

8-243PT12-22

33.0%3PT%55.0%

11-13FT25-30

85.0%FT%83.0%

28Rebounds38

17Offensive Rebounds12

14Assists16

15Turnovers20

17Steals9

2Blocks6

22Fouls15

Player Box Score

Nicholls

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalik Dunkley	G	30	9-15	0-1	0-0	4	1	5	1	18
Trae English	G	38	6-13	2-5	3-4	3	3	1	0	17
Sincere Malone	F	36	6-10	1-2	2-2	3	4	5	0	15
Christian Winborne	G	34	4-12	2-6	4-5	5	1	2	0	14
Jaylen Searles	G	19	4-9	3-6	2-2	1	1	1	1	13
Nick Krass	G	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Grant Sanders	F	19	0-2	0-1	0-0	4	4	1	0	0
Zaiden Cross	G	10	0-6	0-3	0-0	1	0	2	0	0
Jalin Rice	G	6	0-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Domanic Betancourt	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jordan Matthews	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kevin Pazmino	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fred King	C	29	8-8	0-0	8-9	10	1	2	5	24
Javon Jackson	G	27	6-14	3-6	8-9	3	4	3	0	23
Layne Taylor	G	29	5-9	4-7	0-0	3	4	2	0	14
Roman Domon	G	20	3-4	2-3	3-4	5	2	0	0	11
JJ Traynor	F	20	2-4	1-1	4-5	4	0	0	0	9
Mason Miller	F	23	2-3	1-2	0-0	4	1	1	0	5
Brayden Shorter	G	14	1-2	1-2	2-3	1	0	0	1	5
Mathis Courbon	G	16	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	2	1	0	2
KJ Tenner	G	11	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
Dylan Anderson	C	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Brock Vice	F	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

75.8Possessions75.8

104.2Offensive Efficiency130.6

130.6Defensive Efficiency104.2

-26.4Net Efficiency26.4

47.2%Effective FG%69.8%

50.5%True Shooting %73.6%

19.7%Turnover Rate26.6%

18.1%Free Throw Rate56.6%

33.3%3-Point Rate41.5%

0.93Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

Murray State won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 75.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.