Bowling Green

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.1%Bowling Green

57.9%Davidson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDavidson -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL147.5

MODEL MONEYLINEDavidson -138

Davidson

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBowling Green 73

Projected Total147.5

Projected ScoreDavidson 75

Team Comparison

Bowling GreenMetricDavidson

54.7MMH Power Index53

112.6Offensive Efficiency109.9

99.1Defensive Efficiency103.7

13.5Net Efficiency6.2

-4.7Strength of Schedule0.1

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.6

72.2Tempo65.5

53.4%Effective FG%53.7%

15.9%Turnover Rate15.6%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

38.7%Free Throw Rate32.9%

9.8Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bowling Green HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBowling Green holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.7–53.0), offensive efficiency (112.6–109.9), defensive efficiency (99.1–103.7), net efficiency (13.5–6.2).

Davidson COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.1–-4.7), shooting efficiency (53.7–53.4), ball security (15.6–15.9).

Final

Bowling Green

87—91

Davidson

Davidson by 4 • 78.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Bowling GreenTEAM STATDavidson

30-67FG26-48

45.0%FG%54.0%

3-143PT11-23

21.0%3PT%48.0%

24-35FT28-38

69.0%FT%74.0%

33Rebounds35

13Offensive Rebounds6

8Assists17

9Turnovers18

12Steals6

3Blocks5

24Fouls24

Player Box Score

Bowling Green

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josiah Shackelford	G	24	8-13	2-3	5-7	6	1	3	0	23
Javontae Campbell	G	36	7-18	0-2	7-10	2	1	2	0	21
Sam Towns	F	31	6-14	1-4	3-3	6	0	1	0	16
Mayar Wol	F	26	5-11	0-3	6-8	4	0	2	0	16
Justin Thomas	G	36	1-3	0-0	2-5	6	6	4	0	4
Javon Ruffin	G	21	1-2	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	1	2
Troy Glover II	F	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Aiden Goins	F	4	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Makhi Leach	G	7	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	1	1
Jason Kimbrough Jr.	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Davidson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sam Brown	G	32	5-9	4-8	4-4	3	3	0	0	18
Nick Coval	G	28	4-7	1-2	8-8	5	1	0	0	17
Parker Friedrichsen	G	23	5-7	2-3	4-8	2	1	1	0	16
Roberts Blums	G	20	1-5	0-1	7-7	5	3	0	0	9
Ian Platteeuw	G	19	2-2	0-0	4-8	8	6	2	2	8
Hunter Adam	G	19	3-5	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	1	8
Josh Scovens	G	17	3-5	0-0	0-0	3	2	2	2	6
RJ Greer	G	6	2-2	2-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Manie Joses	F	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Devin Brown	G	19	0-2	0-1	1-3	3	1	1	0	1
JaQualon Roberts	F	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Joe Hurlburt	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.9Possessions78.9

110.3Offensive Efficiency115.3

115.3Defensive Efficiency110.3

-5.1Net Efficiency5.1

47.0%Effective FG%65.6%

52.0%True Shooting %68.9%

11.3%Turnover Rate23.1%

52.2%Free Throw Rate79.2%

20.9%3-Point Rate47.9%

0.89Assist / Turnover0.94

Game Summary

Davidson won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 78.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.