Missouri State

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.5%Missouri State

58.5%UT Arlington

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUT Arlington -4.2

PROJECTED TOTAL142.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUT Arlington -141

UT Arlington

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri State 69

Projected Total142.8

Projected ScoreUT Arlington 73

Team Comparison

Missouri StateMetricUT Arlington

51.1MMH Power Index49.6

110.5Offensive Efficiency102.7

108.4Defensive Efficiency97.9

2.1Net Efficiency4.8

0.5Strength of Schedule-0.8

-2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.9

67.9Tempo68.1

51.8%Effective FG%48.5%

16.4%Turnover Rate20.4%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %36.0%

42.9%Free Throw Rate43.7%

1.4Average Margin3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Missouri State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMissouri State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.1–49.6), offensive efficiency (110.5–102.7), strength of schedule (0.5–-0.8), recent form (-2.1–-3.9).

UT Arlington COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (97.9–108.4), net efficiency (4.8–2.1), offensive rebounding (36.0–33.0).

Final

Missouri State

49—67

UT Arlington

UT Arlington by 18 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Missouri StateTEAM STATUT Arlington

16-50FG27-62

32.0%FG%44.0%

1-143PT7-17

7.0%3PT%41.0%

16-24FT6-17

67.0%FT%35.0%

35Rebounds42

11Offensive Rebounds16

10Assists21

17Turnovers15

12Steals9

8Blocks7

18Fouls18

Player Box Score

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	32	10-17	0-0	2-6	5	1	4	1	22
Zaxton King	G	36	3-7	0-1	2-2	3	0	0	0	8
Trey Williams Jr.	G	22	1-3	1-2	4-6	1	2	1	0	7
Kobi Williams	G	37	0-7	0-5	4-4	1	4	2	2	4
Keith Palek III	F	32	1-8	0-3	2-2	11	3	1	0	4
Logan Epes	G	18	1-3	0-1	1-2	3	0	1	0	3
Tyrique Brooks	G	5	0-2	0-1	1-2	1	0	1	0	1
Cameron Boone	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	5	0
Darrion Sutton	F	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	2	0	0
Ryder Cheesman	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UT Arlington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Raysean Seamster	F	35	7-15	1-3	2-7	2	4	3	3	17
Marcell McCreary	G	31	5-8	3-5	1-1	5	5	3	1	14
Cash Chavis	G	31	5-13	1-2	0-3	4	8	0	0	11
Bahsil Laster	G	22	2-5	1-3	2-3	2	2	0	0	7
Marcus Rigsby Jr.	G	17	3-5	1-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	7
Jordan Lowery	G	9	1-4	0-1	1-1	0	1	0	0	3
Cameron Jackson	F	22	1-6	0-0	0-2	15	0	2	0	2
Amari Reed	F	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	3	2
Tyran Mason	G	10	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Jayden Smoot	G	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Miles Goodman	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

71.7Offensive Efficiency98.1

98.1Defensive Efficiency71.7

-26.4Net Efficiency26.4

33.0%Effective FG%49.2%

39.9%True Shooting %47.8%

25.2%Turnover Rate21.7%

48.0%Free Throw Rate27.4%

28.0%3-Point Rate27.4%

0.59Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

UT Arlington won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.