South Carolina Upstate

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.6%South Carolina Upstate

90.4%UNC Wilmington

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUNC Wilmington -14.5

PROJECTED TOTAL147.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUNC Wilmington -942

UNC Wilmington

27-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Carolina Upstate 66

Projected Total147.4

Projected ScoreUNC Wilmington 81

Team Comparison

South Carolina UpstateMetricUNC Wilmington

43.6MMH Power Index59.2

104.5Offensive Efficiency114.1

103.7Defensive Efficiency101.7

0.8Net Efficiency12.4

-3.8Strength of Schedule-1.5

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency5.5

71.1Tempo66.9

50.3%Effective FG%51.1%

17.6%Turnover Rate14.8%

30.1%Offensive Rebound %35.8%

34.0%Free Throw Rate41.7%

0.6Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UNC Wilmington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUNC Wilmington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.2–43.6), offensive efficiency (114.1–104.5), defensive efficiency (101.7–103.7), net efficiency (12.4–0.8).

Final

South Carolina Upstate

60—73

UNC Wilmington

UNC Wilmington by 13 • 61.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South Carolina UpstateTEAM STATUNC Wilmington

21-55FG24-56

38.0%FG%43.0%

5-193PT4-14

26.0%3PT%29.0%

13-18FT21-28

72.0%FT%75.0%

31Rebounds42

13Offensive Rebounds18

7Assists8

11Turnovers10

6Steals9

7Blocks3

21Fouls17

Player Box Score

South Carolina Upstate

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Karmani Gregory	G	29	4-12	1-6	6-7	2	1	2	0	15
Carmelo Adkins	G	31	5-16	3-7	0-0	4	0	0	0	13
Learic Davis	F	34	4-10	0-2	4-5	8	1	2	1	12
Mason Bendinger	G	19	4-9	1-2	0-2	0	0	0	2	9
Tyler Smith	G	25	2-5	0-1	3-4	3	2	1	0	7
Jafeth Martinez	F	19	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	4
Isaiah Skinner	G	16	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	3	1	0	0
Coen Collier	C	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2	0
Nic Book	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Kanye Jones	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UNC Wilmington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Madison Durr	G	21	4-7	0-0	8-11	1	1	1	0	16
Nolan Hodge	G	37	5-11	2-6	2-2	7	1	1	0	14
Greedy Williams	G	31	4-8	1-3	4-6	4	0	1	0	13
Christian May	G	30	4-10	1-4	2-2	6	2	1	2	11
Patrick Wessler	F	23	2-5	0-0	3-4	4	0	0	0	7
Noah Ross	G	35	3-11	0-0	0-0	3	3	4	0	6
Gavin Walsh	F	19	2-4	0-1	0-1	11	1	1	1	4
Makoi Mabor Makoi	F	4	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

61.5Possessions61.5

97.6Offensive Efficiency118.7

118.7Defensive Efficiency97.6

-21.1Net Efficiency21.1

42.7%Effective FG%46.4%

47.2%True Shooting %52.7%

17.9%Turnover Rate16.3%

32.7%Free Throw Rate50.0%

34.5%3-Point Rate25.0%

0.64Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

UNC Wilmington won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 61.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.