Grand Canyon

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.8%Grand Canyon

78.2%Saint Louis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Louis -10.7

PROJECTED TOTAL153.2

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Louis -359

Saint Louis

29-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGrand Canyon 71

Projected Total153.2

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 82

Team Comparison

Grand CanyonMetricSaint Louis

59.8MMH Power Index66.7

109.2Offensive Efficiency120.8

99.1Defensive Efficiency97.6

10.1Net Efficiency23.2

2.0Strength of Schedule0.3

9.7Last 10 Net Efficiency0.1

69.3Tempo72.2

52.1%Effective FG%59.9%

17.6%Turnover Rate17.1%

31.2%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

41.0%Free Throw Rate33.9%

7.0Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–59.8), offensive efficiency (120.8–109.2), defensive efficiency (97.6–99.1), net efficiency (23.2–10.1).

Grand Canyon COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.0–0.3), recent form (9.7–0.1), free throw rate (41.0–33.9).

Final

Grand Canyon

64—78

Saint Louis

Saint Louis by 14 • 74.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Grand CanyonTEAM STATSaint Louis

19-67FG27-59

28.0%FG%46.0%

7-283PT10-27

25.0%3PT%37.0%

19-22FT14-17

86.0%FT%82.0%

39Rebounds45

15Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists16

12Turnovers18

8Steals8

7Blocks4

15Fouls22

Player Box Score

Grand Canyon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Makaih Williams	G	34	4-17	1-9	11-12	5	2	1	0	20
Jaden Henley	G	27	4-13	1-5	3-3	5	2	1	0	12
Dusty Stromer	G	24	2-8	2-5	2-2	0	1	1	0	8
Brian Moore Jr.	G	17	2-8	1-3	2-4	2	1	1	1	7
Nana Owusu-Anane	F	36	3-6	0-2	0-0	11	2	1	4	6
Caleb Shaw	G	20	2-7	1-3	1-1	7	2	1	0	6
Kaleb Smith	F	11	2-3	1-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	5
Wilhelm Breidenbach	F	18	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Dennis Evans	C	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2	0
Efe Demirel	C	5	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Amari McCottry	G	28	8-13	0-4	4-6	5	4	1	0	20
Robbie Avila	C	26	5-10	4-7	0-0	2	3	1	0	14
Ishan Sharma	F	20	2-6	2-5	2-2	0	2	0	0	8
Brady Dunlap	F	14	2-2	1-1	3-3	2	0	0	0	8
Trey Green	G	21	2-6	1-4	2-2	5	1	0	0	7
Paul Otieno	F	21	3-5	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	3	7
Dion Brown	G	29	2-4	0-1	2-2	15	3	1	1	6
Quentin Jones	G	18	2-5	2-2	0-0	3	2	2	0	6
Kellen Thames	G	10	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	1	2	0	2
Jax Kerr	F	4	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Cam Hutson	G	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jaden Schertz	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaac Holmes	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.8Possessions74.8

85.6Offensive Efficiency104.3

104.3Defensive Efficiency85.6

-18.7Net Efficiency18.7

33.6%Effective FG%54.2%

41.3%True Shooting %58.1%

16.1%Turnover Rate24.0%

32.8%Free Throw Rate28.8%

41.8%3-Point Rate45.8%

0.83Assist / Turnover0.89

Game Summary

Saint Louis won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 74.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.