Duquesne

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.6%Duquesne

81.4%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -9.7

PROJECTED TOTAL153.3

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -438

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDuquesne 72

Projected Total153.3

Projected ScoreVillanova 81

Team Comparison

DuquesneMetricVillanova

50.7MMH Power Index59.4

110.6Offensive Efficiency114.7

106.2Defensive Efficiency105.9

4.4Net Efficiency8.8

0.6Strength of Schedule4.4

-5.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

70.8Tempo67.3

53.4%Effective FG%53.9%

17.7%Turnover Rate15.0%

30.6%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

38.2%Free Throw Rate31.4%

3.1Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–50.7), offensive efficiency (114.7–110.6), defensive efficiency (105.9–106.2), net efficiency (8.8–4.4).

Duquesne COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (38.2–31.4).

Final

Duquesne

77—87

Villanova

Villanova by 10 • 69.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DuquesneTEAM STATVillanova

26-55FG27-62

47.0%FG%44.0%

12-233PT8-21

52.0%3PT%38.0%

13-20FT25-33

65.0%FT%76.0%

29Rebounds41

12Offensive Rebounds21

12Assists15

17Turnovers13

5Steals7

1Blocks—

25Fouls20

Player Box Score

Duquesne

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tarence Guinyard	G	32	10-15	5-6	5-7	3	4	2	0	30
Jimmie Williams	G	31	6-13	4-8	2-2	4	1	1	0	18
Maximus Edwards	G	22	3-9	0-1	3-3	4	0	1	0	9
Dom Aekins	G	8	4-5	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	9
John Hugley IV	F	24	2-6	2-5	2-4	1	1	0	0	8
David Dixon	F	13	1-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Cam Crawford	G	26	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	3	0	0	1
Jakub Necas	F	26	0-1	0-1	0-0	8	2	0	1	0
Stef van Bussel	C	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Lazar Milosevic	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0
Brandon Hall	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Acaden Lewis	G	30	5-12	0-3	9-13	4	6	1	19
Bryce Lindsay	G	32	6-12	3-8	3-4	2	3	2	18
Matt Hodge	F	31	5-13	2-6	3-3	4	2	1	15
Duke Brennan	F	27	3-6	0-0	2-4	13	2	2	8
Tyler Perkins	G	24	2-7	0-1	4-4	5	1	1	8
Devin Askew	G	22	3-6	2-2	0-0	4	1	0	8
Malachi Palmer	G	15	2-2	1-1	1-1	1	0	0	6
Chris Jeffrey	G	10	1-4	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	4
Braden Pierce	C	6	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	1
Zion Stanford	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.6Possessions69.6

110.6Offensive Efficiency125.0

125.0Defensive Efficiency110.6

-14.4Net Efficiency14.4

58.2%Effective FG%50.0%

59.7%True Shooting %56.0%

24.5%Turnover Rate18.7%

36.4%Free Throw Rate53.2%

41.8%3-Point Rate33.9%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.15

Game Summary

Villanova won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 69.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.