App State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

71.7%App State

28.3%Dartmouth

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADApp State -4.5

PROJECTED TOTAL146.1

MODEL MONEYLINEApp State -253

Dartmouth

11-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreApp State 75

Projected Total146.1

Projected ScoreDartmouth 71

Team Comparison

App StateMetricDartmouth

54.2MMH Power Index41.3

110.9Offensive Efficiency108.2

101.7Defensive Efficiency109.5

9.2Net Efficiency-1.3

-4.2Strength of Schedule-2.2

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.0

64.9Tempo70.1

51.1%Effective FG%52.9%

15.2%Turnover Rate17.4%

34.2%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

39.8%Free Throw Rate38.4%

6.0Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–41.3), offensive efficiency (110.9–108.2), defensive efficiency (101.7–109.5), net efficiency (9.2–-1.3).

Dartmouth COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.2–-4.2), shooting efficiency (52.9–51.1).

Final

App State

85—77

Dartmouth

App State by 8 • 72.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

App StateTEAM STATDartmouth

32-61FG21-49

52.0%FG%43.0%

6-203PT13-29

30.0%3PT%45.0%

15-21FT22-30

71.0%FT%73.0%

34Rebounds28

11Offensive Rebounds8

12Assists15

13Turnovers16

10Steals6

3Blocks3

24Fouls20

Player Box Score

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kasen Jennings	G	34	8-14	3-7	2-2	4	1	2	0	21
Eren Banks	G	32	7-10	1-3	1-2	7	2	1	0	16
Alonzo Dodd	G	28	6-7	0-1	4-5	5	6	2	0	16
Luke Wilson	C	27	4-9	0-0	5-9	6	0	1	3	13
Jason Clarke Jr.	G	22	3-9	0-3	1-1	1	2	2	0	7
Andrin Njock	F	26	2-4	0-2	2-2	3	0	1	0	6
Jalen Tot	G	18	2-5	2-4	0-0	2	1	1	0	6
Chad Moodie	F	9	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Michael Marcus Jr.	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Dartmouth

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kareem Thomas	G	30	4-7	3-3	10-13	1	3	0	0	21
Jackson Munro	F	25	4-6	4-5	2-2	2	2	0	1	14
Brandon Mitchell-Day	F	26	4-10	2-5	2-2	8	3	3	1	12
Connor Amundsen	PG	33	1-8	0-5	7-8	4	3	0	0	9
Jayden Williams	F	31	3-9	2-5	0-1	6	2	1	0	8
Ben Brown	G	22	2-5	2-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Nikola Abusara	G	17	2-2	0-0	1-2	2	2	1	1	5
Patrick Tivnan Jr.	F	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Cameron McNamee	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-2	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.2Possessions72.2

117.7Offensive Efficiency106.6

106.6Defensive Efficiency117.7

11.1Net Efficiency-11.1

57.4%Effective FG%56.1%

59.9%True Shooting %60.9%

17.8%Turnover Rate22.5%

34.4%Free Throw Rate61.2%

32.8%3-Point Rate59.2%

0.92Assist / Turnover0.94

Game Summary

App State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 72.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.