Wagner

14-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.0%Wagner

91.0%UMBC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -14.9

PROJECTED TOTAL140.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -1011

UMBC

24-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWagner 63

Projected Total140.7

Projected ScoreUMBC 78

Team Comparison

WagnerMetricUMBC

42.9MMH Power Index59.1

105.5Offensive Efficiency113.0

106.1Defensive Efficiency99.0

-0.6Net Efficiency14.0

-5.0Strength of Schedule-5.6

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency24.7

67.6Tempo65.5

50.2%Effective FG%54.3%

18.9%Turnover Rate14.3%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %25.2%

31.6%Free Throw Rate34.1%

-0.4Average Margin9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–42.9), offensive efficiency (113.0–105.5), defensive efficiency (99.0–106.1), net efficiency (14.0–-0.6).

Wagner COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-5.0–-5.6), offensive rebounding (34.0–25.2).

Final

Wagner

70—71

UMBC

UMBC by 1 • 75.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WagnerTEAM STATUMBC

28-64FG22-55

44.0%FG%40.0%

4-163PT5-22

25.0%3PT%23.0%

10-16FT22-32

63.0%FT%69.0%

37Rebounds42

11Offensive Rebounds12

3Assists10

15Turnovers18

9Steals3

1Blocks—

23Fouls15

Player Box Score

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Jones	G	35	7-15	2-5	4-4	5	0	3	0	20
Binael Basil	F	25	7-11	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	1	14
Jaden Baker	G	33	3-9	1-3	1-2	3	0	1	0	8
Bryan Akanmu	F	24	4-9	0-0	0-1	3	1	0	0	8
Zavier Fitch	F	27	2-4	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	6
Eddie Placer	G	37	2-7	0-4	1-3	8	1	3	0	5
Makhai Anderson	G	6	1-2	0-0	2-4	2	0	0	0	4
Elijah Brown	G	7	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Michael Cooper	G	6	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
John Awoke	G	20	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Sam Smith	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Huascar Cuevas	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jah'Likai King	G	41	6-17	1-7	8-12	5	3	0	21
Caden Diggs	F	33	5-13	0-5	4-6	10	1	0	14
DJ Armstrong Jr.	G	41	3-8	2-6	4-5	2	6	0	12
Cougar Downing	G	21	2-2	2-2	0-0	1	0	0	6
Josh Odunowo	F	15	2-4	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	5
Daylon Dickerson	F	13	0-1	0-0	5-6	1	0	0	5
Paul Greene	F	21	2-4	0-0	0-1	6	0	2	4
Riley Jacobs	F	28	1-3	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	2
Devin Ceaser	G	5	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	2
Jose Roberto Tanchyn	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.9Possessions75.9

92.2Offensive Efficiency93.5

93.5Defensive Efficiency92.2

-1.3Net Efficiency1.3

46.9%Effective FG%44.5%

48.9%True Shooting %50.6%

19.8%Turnover Rate23.6%

25.0%Free Throw Rate58.2%

25.0%3-Point Rate40.0%

0.20Assist / Turnover0.56

Game Summary

UMBC won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 75.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.