Samford

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.8%Samford

62.2%Central Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -5.0

PROJECTED TOTAL158.1

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -165

Central Arkansas

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSamford 77

Projected Total158.1

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 82

Team Comparison

SamfordMetricCentral Arkansas

54.1MMH Power Index54

113.5Offensive Efficiency113.9

108.3Defensive Efficiency105.2

5.2Net Efficiency8.7

-2.9Strength of Schedule-3.9

14.0Last 10 Net Efficiency9.8

69.5Tempo71.0

54.0%Effective FG%54.3%

13.3%Turnover Rate15.3%

25.3%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

42.5%Free Throw Rate30.7%

3.6Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (113.9–113.5), defensive efficiency (105.2–108.3), net efficiency (8.7–5.2), shooting efficiency (54.3–54.0).

Samford COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (54.1–54.0), strength of schedule (-2.9–-3.9), recent form (14.0–9.8).

Final

Samford

84—77

Central Arkansas

Samford by 7 • 75.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SamfordTEAM STATCentral Arkansas

28-68FG29-67

41.0%FG%43.0%

15-443PT6-22

34.0%3PT%27.0%

13-18FT13-23

72.0%FT%57.0%

39Rebounds46

9Offensive Rebounds13

19Assists9

7Turnovers11

8Steals6

5Blocks1

16Fouls16

Player Box Score

Samford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jadin Booth	G	42	6-18	5-15	4-4	5	3	1	0	21
Keaton Norris	G	41	7-16	4-11	0-0	5	7	1	0	18
Dylan Faulkner	F	29	7-12	0-0	2-5	8	1	1	4	16
Cade Norris	G	36	3-8	1-5	5-5	6	2	0	0	12
Isaiah Campbell-Finch	G	33	3-5	3-5	2-4	3	3	3	0	11
Jaxon Pollard	F	16	2-4	2-4	0-0	4	0	1	0	6
Zion Wilburn	G	18	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	1	0
Kam Martin	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Judson Bjornstad	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Caleb Harrison	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Camren Hunter	G	36	11-24	1-7	3-3	4	3	2	0	26
Javion Guy-King	G	25	4-7	2-3	3-6	6	2	1	0	13
Luke Moore	G	34	3-8	0-3	3-7	5	0	1	0	9
Ty Robinson	G	32	4-8	0-1	1-2	6	0	1	0	9
Cole McCormick	F	28	3-7	0-2	2-3	7	2	0	0	8
Tyler Lee	G	13	2-4	2-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Truman Byrne	F	24	2-3	1-2	0-0	5	0	0	0	5
Malchiah Marable	F	15	0-2	0-0	1-2	3	2	0	1	1
Harry Beauchamp	G	11	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Parker Applegate	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Chris Mason	F	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.3Possessions75.3

111.6Offensive Efficiency102.3

102.3Defensive Efficiency111.6

9.3Net Efficiency-9.3

52.2%Effective FG%47.8%

54.9%True Shooting %49.4%

9.4%Turnover Rate14.5%

26.5%Free Throw Rate34.3%

64.7%3-Point Rate32.8%

2.71Assist / Turnover0.82

Game Summary

Samford won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 75.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.