Central Connecticut

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.4%Central Connecticut

78.6%Massachusetts

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMassachusetts -8.5

PROJECTED TOTAL153.8

MODEL MONEYLINEMassachusetts -367

Massachusetts

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 73

Projected Total153.8

Projected ScoreMassachusetts 81

Team Comparison

Central ConnecticutMetricMassachusetts

44.4MMH Power Index51.5

111.4Offensive Efficiency110.3

107.0Defensive Efficiency106.7

4.4Net Efficiency3.6

-7.7Strength of Schedule0.9

-0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.2

66.3Tempo72.8

54.0%Effective FG%53.2%

15.9%Turnover Rate17.9%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %33.7%

31.3%Free Throw Rate37.7%

2.9Average Margin2.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (111.4–110.3), net efficiency (4.4–3.6), recent form (-0.5–-4.2), shooting efficiency (54.0–53.2).

Massachusetts COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (51.5–44.4), defensive efficiency (106.7–107.0), strength of schedule (0.9–-7.7).

Final

Central Connecticut

77—84

Massachusetts

Massachusetts by 7 • 77.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ConnecticutTEAM STATMassachusetts

25-54FG31-67

46.0%FG%46.0%

6-153PT10-26

40.0%3PT%38.0%

21-31FT12-25

68.0%FT%48.0%

27Rebounds44

5Offensive Rebounds17

12Assists22

13Turnovers17

8Steals4

4Blocks1

19Fouls22

Player Box Score

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darin Smith Jr.	F	27	6-11	3-6	3-3	1	1	0	0	18
Jay Rodgers	G	29	4-10	2-4	5-7	4	5	0	0	15
Nico Ashley	F	21	5-6	0-0	5-8	4	0	2	3	15
Gabe Spinelli	G	18	4-9	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	8
Elijah Parker	G	14	3-4	1-2	1-4	1	1	1	0	8
Max Frazier	F	23	1-6	0-0	3-4	4	2	0	0	5
James Jones	G	32	1-2	0-1	2-3	5	2	2	0	4
Ja'Kobe Williams	G	20	1-5	0-1	2-2	2	1	2	0	4
Jayden Mott	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Daniel James	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ashton Reynolds	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Massachusetts

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
K'Jei Parker	G	26	8-13	6-9	0-0	0	2	0	0	22
Leonardo Bettiol	F	29	7-12	0-1	5-10	15	4	0	0	19
Marcus Banks Jr.	G	33	3-11	2-8	3-4	3	4	2	0	11
Luka Damjanac	F	12	3-4	2-3	0-0	1	2	1	0	8
Dwayne Wimbley Jr.	F	19	2-4	0-1	2-3	4	1	0	0	6
Dimitri Clerc	F	14	3-7	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	0	6
Daniel Hankins-Sanford	F	20	2-8	0-1	1-4	3	0	0	0	5
Danny Carbuccia	G	17	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	6	0	0	4
Jayden Ndjigue	G	26	1-4	0-2	1-2	8	3	1	1	3
Isaiah Placide	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.8Possessions77.8

99.0Offensive Efficiency108.0

108.0Defensive Efficiency99.0

-9.0Net Efficiency9.0

51.9%Effective FG%53.7%

56.0%True Shooting %53.2%

16.9%Turnover Rate21.6%

57.4%Free Throw Rate37.3%

27.8%3-Point Rate38.8%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.29

Game Summary

Massachusetts won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 77.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.