Presbyterian

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.3%Presbyterian

52.7%Sacramento State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSacramento State -1.0

PROJECTED TOTAL154.5

MODEL MONEYLINESacramento State -111

Sacramento State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePresbyterian 77

Projected Total154.5

Projected ScoreSacramento State 78

Team Comparison

PresbyterianMetricSacramento State

46.6MMH Power Index43

107.2Offensive Efficiency106.1

106.9Defensive Efficiency112.0

0.3Net Efficiency-5.9

-1.6Strength of Schedule0.9

-2.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.8

67.5Tempo73.2

52.3%Effective FG%48.5%

19.3%Turnover Rate14.2%

33.7%Offensive Rebound %25.1%

41.1%Free Throw Rate41.8%

0.2Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Presbyterian HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPresbyterian holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.6–43.0), offensive efficiency (107.2–106.1), defensive efficiency (106.9–112.0), net efficiency (0.3–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-1.6), ball security (14.2–19.3), free throw rate (41.8–41.1).

Final

Presbyterian

62—64

Sacramento State

Sacramento State by 2 • 66.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PresbyterianTEAM STATSacramento State

23-59FG22-48

39.0%FG%46.0%

3-213PT2-11

14.0%3PT%18.0%

13-21FT18-25

62.0%FT%72.0%

34Rebounds36

14Offensive Rebounds10

12Assists13

11Turnovers17

11Steals4

1Blocks6

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Presbyterian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carl Parrish	G	35	5-14	2-5	2-2	1	1	2	0	14
Jonah Pierce	F	35	5-7	0-0	2-4	14	3	2	1	12
Triston Wilson	G	34	4-14	0-7	2-3	3	3	1	0	10
Jaylen Peterson	F	21	4-7	0-0	2-2	6	1	0	0	10
Iverson King	G	29	2-6	0-3	2-2	4	2	1	0	6
Chidi Chiakwelu	F	6	1-1	0-0	1-6	1	0	1	0	3
JD Bowden	G	5	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Khalon Hudson	G	16	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	2	4	0	2
Erik Taylor	G	11	0-3	0-3	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Josh Pickett	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Amare Anderson	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremiah Cherry	F	37	8-15	0-0	1-2	10	1	0	2	17
Mikey Williams	G	36	3-7	0-2	8-9	6	5	1	0	14
Jayden Teat	G	17	4-7	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	9
Prophet Johnson	G	37	2-6	0-1	4-8	6	4	3	1	8
Shaqir O'Neal	F	22	2-4	0-1	3-4	6	1	0	0	7
Jahni Summers	G	17	2-5	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Brandon Gardner	F	26	1-2	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	3	4
Mark Lavrenov	F	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Taj Glover	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Arman Madi	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.5Possessions66.5

93.2Offensive Efficiency96.2

96.2Defensive Efficiency93.2

-3.0Net Efficiency3.0

41.5%Effective FG%47.9%

44.9%True Shooting %53.4%

16.7%Turnover Rate25.4%

35.6%Free Throw Rate52.1%

35.6%3-Point Rate22.9%

1.09Assist / Turnover0.76

Game Summary

Sacramento State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 66.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.