Illinois State

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

72.3%Illinois State

27.7%Long Beach State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -5.8

PROJECTED TOTAL149.4

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -261

Long Beach State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois State 78

Projected Total149.4

Projected ScoreLong Beach State 72

Team Comparison

Illinois StateMetricLong Beach State

54.3MMH Power Index41.1

110.6Offensive Efficiency103.8

101.4Defensive Efficiency107.8

9.2Net Efficiency-4.0

1.0Strength of Schedule-1.4

-4.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

67.5Tempo72.2

54.3%Effective FG%51.5%

16.8%Turnover Rate17.7%

28.3%Offensive Rebound %26.3%

32.0%Free Throw Rate31.1%

6.2Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.3–41.1), offensive efficiency (110.6–103.8), defensive efficiency (101.4–107.8), net efficiency (9.2–-4.0).

Final

Illinois State

82—80

Long Beach State

Illinois State by 2 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Illinois StateTEAM STATLong Beach State

23-49FG30-63

47.0%FG%48.0%

5-163PT10-24

31.0%3PT%42.0%

31-39FT10-18

79.0%FT%56.0%

31Rebounds36

5Offensive Rebounds10

9Assists12

6Turnovers6

3Steals2

—Blocks1

19Fouls26

Player Box Score

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Ty'Reek Coleman	G	33	6-9	0-2	7-8	1	2	0	19
Chase Walker	F	27	3-9	0-0	13-14	7	1	0	19
Johnny Kinziger	G	34	5-9	2-3	3-5	0	1	1	15
Boden Skunberg	G	22	2-6	0-2	3-4	5	0	0	7
Ty Pence	G	19	2-4	1-2	2-2	2	4	0	7
Landon Wolf	G	22	2-4	0-2	2-2	5	0	2	6
Brandon Lieb	F	13	1-3	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	3
Jack Daugherty	F	12	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	3
Mason Klabo	G	8	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	3
Landon Moore	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	1	0	0

Long Beach State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Petar Majstorovic	F	35	8-15	3-5	0-3	7	1	0	1	19
Shaquil Bender	G	21	6-11	4-7	2-2	2	0	0	0	18
Gavin Sykes	G	32	4-10	1-2	3-4	5	1	0	0	12
Rob Diaz III	G	25	4-8	1-3	0-0	4	4	1	0	9
Leopold Levillain	F	15	2-3	0-0	3-4	4	1	0	0	7
Isaiah Lewis	G	20	2-4	1-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	5
Christian Jones	G	8	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Cole Farrell	G	15	1-4	0-2	1-3	3	1	0	0	3
Shay Johnson Jr.	F	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Derrick Michael Xzavierro	F	11	0-2	0-1	1-2	3	1	0	0	1
Dallas Washington	F	5	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

120.4Offensive Efficiency117.5

117.5Defensive Efficiency120.4

2.9Net Efficiency-2.9

52.0%Effective FG%55.6%

60.7%True Shooting %55.9%

8.8%Turnover Rate8.9%

79.6%Free Throw Rate28.6%

32.7%3-Point Rate38.1%

1.50Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Illinois State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.