Troy

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

48.7%Troy

51.3%Cal State Northridge

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Northridge -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL160.6

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Northridge -105

Cal State Northridge

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTroy 80

Projected Total160.6

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 81

Team Comparison

TroyMetricCal State Northridge

54.1MMH Power Index50

112.6Offensive Efficiency107.3

103.9Defensive Efficiency105.2

8.7Net Efficiency2.1

-2.2Strength of Schedule-0.6

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

70.4Tempo75.9

52.1%Effective FG%51.0%

17.1%Turnover Rate17.3%

35.3%Offensive Rebound %32.9%

36.8%Free Throw Rate34.7%

6.1Average Margin1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Troy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTroy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–50.0), offensive efficiency (112.6–107.3), defensive efficiency (103.9–105.2), net efficiency (8.7–2.1).

Cal State Northridge COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.6–-2.2).

Final

Troy

85—94

Cal State Northridge

Cal State Northridge by 9 • 73.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TroyTEAM STATCal State Northridge

28-61FG38-67

46.0%FG%57.0%

10-313PT7-20

32.0%3PT%35.0%

19-22FT11-16

86.0%FT%69.0%

25Rebounds42

7Offensive Rebounds15

17Assists16

8Turnovers14

9Steals5

3Blocks3

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cobi Campbell	G	28	5-8	4-6	4-4	0	4	0	0	18
Victor Valdes	F	31	5-11	1-6	5-7	3	8	1	0	16
Thomas Dowd	F	31	5-13	3-8	3-4	8	1	3	2	16
Cooper Campbell	G	30	5-10	2-5	1-1	2	1	0	0	13
Theo Seng	F	31	5-8	0-2	1-1	4	3	1	0	11
Jerrell Bellamy	C	11	1-3	0-0	3-3	2	0	1	1	5
Kerrington Kiel	F	15	1-4	0-1	2-2	2	0	2	0	4
Javen Colbert	G	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Austin Cross	G	15	0-3	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Corbin Green	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Emmanuel Clarton	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joshua O'Garro	G	34	9-14	2-5	3-4	11	4	2	1	23
Josiah Davis	G	35	8-14	0-1	4-5	6	5	0	0	20
Larry Hughes II	G	27	4-9	3-4	4-5	5	0	0	0	15
James Evans Jr.	G	19	5-8	1-4	0-0	2	1	1	0	11
Mahmoud Fofana	F	32	4-6	0-0	0-0	7	2	1	2	8
Davius Loury	F	19	3-7	1-4	0-0	1	1	1	0	7
Aleks Szymczyk	C	11	3-4	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	6
Jordan Brinson	G	21	2-4	0-2	0-0	2	3	0	0	4
Grady Lewis	F	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jai Chisolm	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.1Possessions73.1

116.3Offensive Efficiency128.6

128.6Defensive Efficiency116.3

-12.3Net Efficiency12.3

54.1%Effective FG%61.9%

59.5%True Shooting %63.0%

11.0%Turnover Rate19.0%

36.1%Free Throw Rate23.9%

50.8%3-Point Rate29.9%

2.13Assist / Turnover1.14

Game Summary

Cal State Northridge won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 73.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.