VCU

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.9%VCU

47.1%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -0.6

PROJECTED TOTAL159.5

MODEL MONEYLINEVCU -112

NC State

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVCU 79

Projected Total159.5

Projected ScoreNC State 80

Team Comparison

VCUMetricNC State

65.7MMH Power Index60.1

116.4Offensive Efficiency118.4

103.3Defensive Efficiency108.6

13.1Net Efficiency9.8

5.4Strength of Schedule6.4

6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

69.5Tempo70.2

53.7%Effective FG%55.1%

15.1%Turnover Rate13.1%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

42.9%Free Throw Rate35.7%

9.1Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

VCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–60.1), defensive efficiency (103.3–108.6), net efficiency (13.1–9.8), recent form (6.0–-11.9).

NC State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.4–116.4), strength of schedule (6.4–5.4), shooting efficiency (55.1–53.7).

Final

VCU

79—85

NC State

NC State by 6 • 73.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VCUTEAM STATNC State

27-66FG25-54

41.0%FG%46.0%

13-423PT8-21

31.0%3PT%38.0%

12-18FT27-33

67.0%FT%82.0%

31Rebounds45

12Offensive Rebounds14

17Assists11

12Turnovers17

11Steals5

3Blocks3

21Fouls13

Player Box Score

VCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Barry Evans	F	34	6-12	3-7	3-4	5	3	1	1	18
Jadrian Tracey	G	29	5-12	4-9	2-3	4	7	2	0	16
Lazar Djokovic	F	32	5-7	0-2	3-5	5	0	2	0	13
Tyrell Ward	G	26	3-10	1-6	2-4	5	2	1	1	9
Terrence Hill Jr.	G	15	3-7	3-7	0-0	1	0	0	0	9
Nyk Lewis	G	29	3-10	2-8	0-0	2	3	3	0	8
Brandon Jennings	G	21	2-6	0-2	2-2	4	1	2	0	6
Christian Fermin	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Michael Belle	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Ahmad Nowell	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darrion Williams	F	33	9-15	2-4	8-9	7	2	1	0	28
Tre Holloman	G	34	6-12	3-6	10-10	4	1	0	0	25
Matt Able	G	17	3-4	2-3	4-4	3	1	0	0	12
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	22	4-8	1-2	2-2	9	0	0	1	11
Quadir Copeland	G	23	2-6	0-0	3-6	5	4	2	0	7
Musa Sagnia	F	27	1-3	0-1	0-2	6	0	1	1	2
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	28	0-4	0-4	0-0	9	3	1	1	0
Jerry Deng	F	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Alyn Breed	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.7Possessions73.7

107.2Offensive Efficiency115.3

115.3Defensive Efficiency107.2

-8.1Net Efficiency8.1

50.8%Effective FG%53.7%

53.0%True Shooting %61.0%

16.1%Turnover Rate23.4%

27.3%Free Throw Rate61.1%

63.6%3-Point Rate38.9%

1.42Assist / Turnover0.65

Game Summary

NC State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 73.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.