Southern Illinois

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.9%Southern Illinois

73.1%North Dakota State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -7.7

PROJECTED TOTAL147.7

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -272

North Dakota State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 70

Projected Total147.7

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 78

Team Comparison

Southern IllinoisMetricNorth Dakota State

54.6MMH Power Index59

103.4Offensive Efficiency115.4

98.5Defensive Efficiency100.8

4.9Net Efficiency14.6

1.6Strength of Schedule-4.6

7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency14.3

70.6Tempo69.6

49.5%Effective FG%54.5%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.5%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %32.0%

32.3%Free Throw Rate31.3%

3.4Average Margin10.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–54.6), offensive efficiency (115.4–103.4), net efficiency (14.6–4.9), recent form (14.3–7.7).

Southern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (98.5–100.8), strength of schedule (1.6–-4.6), free throw rate (32.3–31.3).

Final

Southern Illinois

85—92

North Dakota State

North Dakota State by 7 • 77.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern IllinoisTEAM STATNorth Dakota State

36-66FG30-67

55.0%FG%45.0%

3-143PT16-35

21.0%3PT%46.0%

10-13FT16-19

77.0%FT%84.0%

37Rebounds29

11Offensive Rebounds10

16Assists19

16Turnovers12

10Steals10

3Blocks1

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quel'Ron House	G	35	11-17	1-2	0-0	3	2	3	0	23
Davion Sykes	G	26	6-8	0-0	2-2	7	0	1	2	14
Rolyns Aligbe	F	27	6-8	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	0	12
Isaiah Stafford	G	25	4-11	1-6	3-3	2	1	0	0	12
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	21	4-5	1-2	2-2	1	4	3	0	11
Jorge Moreno	F	13	3-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Prince Aligbe	F	15	1-6	0-0	1-2	6	2	0	0	3
Jalen Haynes	G	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Drew Steffe	G	23	0-4	0-3	1-2	5	3	0	0	1
Max Pikaar	F	10	0-2	0-1	1-2	2	2	2	1	1
Caden Hawkins	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	35	9-13	4-6	2-2	1	4	0	0	24
Markhi Strickland	G	26	5-10	0-0	5-8	2	0	4	0	15
Tay Smith	G	21	5-10	5-10	0-0	1	3	1	0	15
Noah Feddersen	F	22	3-10	1-5	4-4	7	3	1	0	11
Trevian Carson	G	33	3-7	3-5	0-0	10	2	1	1	9
Andy Stefonowicz	G	30	2-6	1-3	3-3	2	6	1	0	8
Treyson Anderson	F	17	2-6	1-3	2-2	1	0	2	0	7
Carson Smith	G	16	1-5	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

77.6Possessions77.6

109.5Offensive Efficiency118.6

118.6Defensive Efficiency109.5

-9.0Net Efficiency9.0

56.8%Effective FG%56.7%

58.9%True Shooting %60.5%

20.7%Turnover Rate15.4%

19.7%Free Throw Rate28.4%

21.2%3-Point Rate52.2%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.58

Game Summary

North Dakota State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 77.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.