Tulsa

30-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

81.2%Tulsa

18.8%Kansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTulsa -8.7

PROJECTED TOTAL164.5

MODEL MONEYLINETulsa -432

Kansas State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTulsa 87

Projected Total164.5

Projected ScoreKansas State 78

Team Comparison

TulsaMetricKansas State

64.8MMH Power Index47.1

121.1Offensive Efficiency107.8

104.8Defensive Efficiency110.9

16.3Net Efficiency-3.1

0.0Strength of Schedule5.5

10.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.3

70.2Tempo73.8

55.4%Effective FG%53.5%

15.4%Turnover Rate17.4%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %29.4%

42.4%Free Throw Rate27.4%

11.5Average Margin-2.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tulsa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTulsa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.8–47.1), offensive efficiency (121.1–107.8), defensive efficiency (104.8–110.9), net efficiency (16.3–-3.1).

Kansas State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.5–0.0).

Final

Tulsa

83—84

Kansas State

Kansas State by 1 • 75.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TulsaTEAM STATKansas State

27-66FG30-68

41.0%FG%44.0%

8-303PT5-24

27.0%3PT%21.0%

21-29FT19-21

72.0%FT%90.0%

38Rebounds40

14Offensive Rebounds12

16Assists18

9Turnovers10

7Steals5

1Blocks2

16Fouls19

Player Box Score

Tulsa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Miles Barnstable	G	36	6-16	4-11	2-2	9	4	1	0	18
Tylen Riley	G	26	5-7	0-0	2-5	4	4	1	0	12
Myles Rigsby	G	24	2-4	0-0	8-8	5	2	1	0	12
David Green	F	26	3-16	2-9	3-6	4	0	1	0	11
Ian Smikle	F	17	3-3	0-0	1-2	4	2	1	0	7
Jaylen Lawal	G	14	1-7	1-4	3-4	1	1	0	0	6
KJ Martin Jr.	F	10	3-4	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	6
Ade Popoola	G	20	1-3	1-3	2-2	4	1	1	0	5
Tyler Behrend	F	12	2-4	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	1	4
Romad Dean	F	15	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Kansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
P.J. Haggerty	G	32	10-17	0-2	11-12	10	3	2	0	31
Khamari McGriff	F	25	4-6	0-0	5-6	9	2	1	1	13
David Castillo	G	24	4-10	1-5	3-3	1	2	1	0	12
Abdi Bashir Jr.	G	28	4-12	2-6	0-0	0	2	0	0	10
Nate Johnson	G	35	2-7	1-4	0-0	9	4	1	0	5
Andrej Kostic	F	10	2-5	1-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	5
Dorin Buca	C	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	1	2
C.J. Jones	G	14	1-4	0-3	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Elias Rapieque	F	10	1-4	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Taj Manning	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

75.4Possessions75.4

110.1Offensive Efficiency111.4

111.4Defensive Efficiency110.1

-1.3Net Efficiency1.3

47.0%Effective FG%47.8%

52.0%True Shooting %53.9%

12.0%Turnover Rate13.2%

43.9%Free Throw Rate30.9%

45.5%3-Point Rate35.3%

1.78Assist / Turnover1.80

Game Summary

Kansas State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 75.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.