Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.5%Cal State Bakersfield

92.5%Portland State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland State -18.0

PROJECTED TOTAL153.4

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland State -1233

Portland State

20-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 68

Projected Total153.4

Projected ScorePortland State 86

Team Comparison

Cal State BakersfieldMetricPortland State

32.2MMH Power Index50.2

100.2Offensive Efficiency109.3

112.6Defensive Efficiency100.2

-12.4Net Efficiency9.1

-1.7Strength of Schedule-5.6

-18.5Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

73.0Tempo70.1

46.4%Effective FG%51.7%

18.6%Turnover Rate16.6%

30.2%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

43.8%Free Throw Rate36.8%

-9.1Average Margin6.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Portland State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPortland State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–32.2), offensive efficiency (109.3–100.2), defensive efficiency (100.2–112.6), net efficiency (9.1–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-5.6), free throw rate (43.8–36.8).

Final

Cal State Bakersfield

80—93

Portland State

Portland State by 13 • 74.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State BakersfieldTEAM STATPortland State

25-55FG33-55

45.0%FG%60.0%

7-173PT10-18

41.0%3PT%56.0%

23-29FT17-26

79.0%FT%65.0%

27Rebounds33

10Offensive Rebounds10

15Assists15

17Turnovers15

11Steals8

5Blocks4

22Fouls22

Player Box Score

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dailin Smith	G	35	9-17	4-8	8-9	2	0	1	0	30
CJ Hardy	G	31	5-9	1-3	10-11	3	7	1	1	21
AJ George	G	29	4-9	1-3	1-2	3	2	1	2	10
Ronald Jessamy	F	27	3-6	1-1	0-1	1	0	3	2	7
Tom Mark	F	30	2-4	0-2	1-2	7	4	1	0	5
Jaden Alexander	G	11	0-2	0-0	3-4	1	1	0	0	3
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Mike Price	G	9	1-5	0-0	0-0	2	0	2	0	2
Kadar Waller	G	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Caleb McCarty	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Henderson	G	31	10-17	1-3	7-7	2	5	2	1	28
Terri Miller Jr.	F	27	7-9	3-4	3-3	5	5	0	0	20
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	34	7-10	0-0	2-4	4	1	1	0	16
Keyon Kensie Jr.	G	27	4-6	1-1	0-2	8	1	1	2	9
Sebastian Tidor	G	23	2-7	2-6	2-2	4	2	1	1	8
Kelcy Phipps	G	25	1-2	1-2	3-8	2	0	2	0	6
Alex Dupre	G	16	2-4	2-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	6
Mozae Downing-Rivers	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Charles Chukwu	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brycen Long	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.1Possessions74.1

108.0Offensive Efficiency125.5

125.5Defensive Efficiency108.0

-17.5Net Efficiency17.5

51.8%Effective FG%69.1%

58.2%True Shooting %69.0%

22.4%Turnover Rate20.7%

52.7%Free Throw Rate47.3%

30.9%3-Point Rate32.7%

0.88Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Portland State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 74.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.