Vermont

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.7%Vermont

53.3%Buffalo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBuffalo -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL149.5

MODEL MONEYLINEBuffalo -114

Buffalo

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVermont 74

Projected Total149.5

Projected ScoreBuffalo 76

Team Comparison

VermontMetricBuffalo

53.1MMH Power Index49.7

112.2Offensive Efficiency114.9

104.7Defensive Efficiency112.2

7.5Net Efficiency2.7

-4.4Strength of Schedule0.0

12.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.9

65.4Tempo67.9

54.1%Effective FG%56.1%

14.4%Turnover Rate16.1%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %27.6%

32.4%Free Throw Rate40.4%

4.9Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Vermont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVermont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.1–49.7), defensive efficiency (104.7–112.2), net efficiency (7.5–2.7), recent form (12.4–-5.9).

Buffalo COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (114.9–112.2), strength of schedule (0.0–-4.4), shooting efficiency (56.1–54.1).

Final

Vermont

90—94

Buffalo

Buffalo by 4 • 73.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VermontTEAM STATBuffalo

30-55FG27-53

55.0%FG%51.0%

12-253PT9-23

48.0%3PT%39.0%

18-22FT31-37

82.0%FT%84.0%

30Rebounds28

5Offensive Rebounds6

23Assists15

12Turnovers9

6Steals8

3Blocks1

26Fouls19

Player Box Score

Vermont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Hurley	G	33	6-10	4-7	8-9	7	3	2	0	24
Sean Blake	G	30	9-12	2-2	0-1	1	8	0	0	20
Gus Yalden	F	24	7-11	2-3	1-2	4	3	0	1	17
Lucas Mari	G	19	2-5	2-4	2-2	3	4	1	0	8
Noah Barnett	F	18	1-1	0-0	5-5	5	1	1	1	7
Jackson Skipper	F	24	2-5	1-3	0-1	1	2	1	0	5
Momo Nkugwa	G	12	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	1	1	5
TJ Long	G	25	1-6	0-2	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Ben Michaels	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ben Johnson	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
David Simon	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Daniel Freitag	G	38	10-20	4-9	9-10	4	3	3	0	33
Angelo Brizzi	G	27	5-6	0-1	9-9	4	1	2	0	19
Ryan Sabol	G	35	3-12	1-5	6-7	1	5	0	0	13
Ezra McKenna	F	23	2-5	2-5	2-2	4	1	0	0	8
Tim Oboh	C	14	2-3	0-0	3-3	2	1	0	1	7
Derrick Talton Jr.	G	19	2-2	1-1	1-3	2	3	0	0	6
Noah Batchelor	G	29	1-2	1-2	0-0	3	1	1	0	3
Mikhail Pocknett	F	14	1-2	0-0	1-3	3	0	1	0	3
Kyle Jones	G	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

73.1Possessions73.1

123.1Offensive Efficiency128.6

128.6Defensive Efficiency123.1

-5.5Net Efficiency5.5

65.5%Effective FG%59.4%

68.8%True Shooting %66.6%

16.6%Turnover Rate12.2%

40.0%Free Throw Rate69.8%

45.5%3-Point Rate43.4%

1.92Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Buffalo won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 73.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.