East Carolina

11-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.3%East Carolina

89.7%UNC Wilmington

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUNC Wilmington -15.7

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUNC Wilmington -871

UNC Wilmington

27-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEast Carolina 66

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreUNC Wilmington 82

Team Comparison

East CarolinaMetricUNC Wilmington

44.3MMH Power Index59.2

102.0Offensive Efficiency114.1

110.5Defensive Efficiency101.7

-8.5Net Efficiency12.4

2.6Strength of Schedule-1.5

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency5.5

70.1Tempo66.9

46.7%Effective FG%51.1%

17.4%Turnover Rate14.8%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %35.8%

40.2%Free Throw Rate41.7%

-5.9Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UNC Wilmington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUNC Wilmington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.2–44.3), offensive efficiency (114.1–102.0), defensive efficiency (101.7–110.5), net efficiency (12.4–-8.5).

East Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.6–-1.5).

Final

East Carolina

60—85

UNC Wilmington

UNC Wilmington by 25 • 67.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East CarolinaTEAM STATUNC Wilmington

21-63FG25-50

33.0%FG%50.0%

7-253PT14-28

28.0%3PT%50.0%

11-14FT21-28

79.0%FT%75.0%

32Rebounds42

12Offensive Rebounds9

8Assists19

10Turnovers12

6Steals1

1Blocks3

22Fouls20

Player Box Score

East Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Riley	G	34	7-19	1-3	4-6	3	1	0	0	19
Tybo Bailey	G	28	4-12	2-7	0-0	4	0	3	0	10
Corey Caulker	G	31	3-11	1-5	2-2	2	2	1	0	9
Giovanni Emejuru	C	20	2-4	0-0	3-4	5	2	0	1	7
Vito Perkovic	F	12	2-3	1-2	2-2	2	0	0	0	7
Isaiah Mbeng	G	30	2-7	2-5	0-0	0	3	0	0	6
Reid Cason	F	20	1-4	0-1	0-0	6	0	2	0	2
Eli DeLaurier	F	15	0-3	0-2	0-0	5	0	0	0	0
Paddy D'Arcy	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ladontae Felton	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UNC Wilmington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Christian May	G	25	8-12	6-10	0-0	6	0	0	1	22
Noah Ross	G	27	6-10	3-6	1-4	5	0	0	1	16
Gavin Walsh	F	27	3-8	2-5	5-6	3	0	0	0	13
Patrick Wessler	F	20	3-7	0-0	6-8	8	0	1	0	12
Greedy Williams	G	29	2-4	1-1	4-4	1	10	0	0	9
Madison Durr	G	23	1-4	0-1	5-6	5	7	0	0	7
Nolan Hodge	G	30	2-5	2-5	0-0	5	2	0	1	6
Makoi Mabor Makoi	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	0
JoJo Fullwood	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Makel Smith	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Grady Whitt	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.0Possessions67.0

89.6Offensive Efficiency126.9

126.9Defensive Efficiency89.6

-37.3Net Efficiency37.3

38.9%Effective FG%64.0%

43.1%True Shooting %67.1%

14.8%Turnover Rate18.1%

22.2%Free Throw Rate56.0%

39.7%3-Point Rate56.0%

0.80Assist / Turnover1.58

Game Summary

UNC Wilmington won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 67.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.