North Carolina A&T

11-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.1%North Carolina A&T

49.9%Morgan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMorgan State -1.0

PROJECTED TOTAL156.0

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina A&T -100

Morgan State

14-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina A&T 78

Projected Total156.0

Projected ScoreMorgan State 79

Team Comparison

North Carolina A&TMetricMorgan State

41.8MMH Power Index37.2

107.4Offensive Efficiency105.1

111.4Defensive Efficiency109.3

-4.0Net Efficiency-4.2

-1.5Strength of Schedule-9.5

-11.2Last 10 Net Efficiency2.1

69.9Tempo71.6

51.5%Effective FG%48.6%

18.4%Turnover Rate17.5%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

46.7%Free Throw Rate42.9%

-2.8Average Margin-3.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina A&T HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina A&T holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.8–37.2), offensive efficiency (107.4–105.1), net efficiency (-4.0–-4.2), strength of schedule (-1.5–-9.5).

Morgan State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.3–111.4), recent form (2.1–-11.2), ball security (17.5–18.4).

Final

North Carolina A&T

79—73

Morgan State

North Carolina A&T by 6 • 69.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Carolina A&TTEAM STATMorgan State

26-50FG28-62

52.0%FG%45.0%

6-193PT5-21

32.0%3PT%24.0%

21-27FT12-17

78.0%FT%71.0%

40Rebounds24

8Offensive Rebounds5

18Assists13

14Turnovers5

2Steals5

2Blocks—

14Fouls21

Player Box Score

North Carolina A&T

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lewis Walker	F	40	7-13	1-4	9-11	9	3	2	0	24
Will Felton	C	18	7-8	0-0	1-1	8	2	0	0	15
Trent Middleton Jr.	G	36	4-8	1-3	4-5	4	3	0	0	13
Brooklyn Vick	G	33	2-8	1-3	6-6	5	5	0	0	11
Mujahiid Burton	G	22	3-6	2-5	0-2	0	1	0	0	8
Amadou Doumbia	F	22	2-3	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	2	5
Bryson Ogletree	G	29	1-4	1-4	0-0	4	4	0	0	3

Morgan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Elijah Davis	G	37	8-13	0-1	5-7	4	7	3	21
Alfred Worrell Jr.	G	32	5-18	2-12	1-1	3	1	0	13
Rob Lawson	G	31	5-8	1-3	1-1	0	5	0	12
Walter Peggs Jr.	G	22	3-8	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	8
Christian Oliver	C	26	2-6	0-0	3-4	7	0	0	7
Eugene Alvin	F	14	3-4	0-1	0-2	3	0	1	6
Christian Meeks	G	17	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	2
Marland Harris	F	9	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	2
Manok Lual	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2
Dallas James	C	5	0-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.4Possessions69.4

113.8Offensive Efficiency105.2

105.2Defensive Efficiency113.8

8.6Net Efficiency-8.6

58.0%Effective FG%49.2%

62.9%True Shooting %52.1%

20.3%Turnover Rate7.1%

54.0%Free Throw Rate27.4%

38.0%3-Point Rate33.9%

1.29Assist / Turnover2.60

Game Summary

North Carolina A&T won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 69.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.