Little Rock

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.1%Little Rock

82.9%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -11.2

PROJECTED TOTAL156.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -485

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 73

Projected Total156.9

Projected ScoreMurray State 84

Team Comparison

Little RockMetricMurray State

44MMH Power Index53.6

103.0Offensive Efficiency115.0

108.2Defensive Efficiency111.0

-5.2Net Efficiency4.0

0.5Strength of Schedule3.5

-0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

68.5Tempo72.3

50.3%Effective FG%54.0%

18.7%Turnover Rate16.3%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

28.6%Free Throw Rate39.1%

-3.6Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–44.0), offensive efficiency (115.0–103.0), net efficiency (4.0–-5.2), strength of schedule (3.5–0.5).

Little Rock COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (108.2–111.0), recent form (-0.7–-9.5).

Final

Little Rock

68—89

Murray State

Murray State by 21 • 66.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Little RockTEAM STATMurray State

27-61FG29-57

44.0%FG%51.0%

2-63PT14-30

33.0%3PT%47.0%

12-16FT17-23

75.0%FT%74.0%

35Rebounds32

16Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists15

14Turnovers9

5Steals7

3Blocks2

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johnathan Lawson	G	33	6-14	1-3	4-5	6	5	3	0	17
Tuongthach Gatkek	F	29	7-10	0-0	1-4	6	2	0	2	15
Terrion Burgess	F	34	5-7	0-1	4-4	5	1	0	0	14
Kachi Nzeh	F	25	4-7	1-1	2-2	5	1	1	0	11
Cameron Wallace	F	30	4-14	0-0	1-1	6	0	0	0	9
Braxton Bayless	G	19	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Caleb Pennyfeather	F	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	0
Truman Claytor IV	F	7	0-3	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Christian Hughes	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tracy Steele Jr.	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mason Miller	F	22	5-9	4-6	2-2	3	0	0	0	16
Brayden Shorter	G	18	6-11	4-9	0-0	2	1	0	0	16
Javon Jackson	G	21	4-11	3-6	2-3	1	2	2	0	13
Roman Domon	G	18	3-5	1-3	2-4	2	1	0	0	9
Fred King	C	25	1-3	0-0	6-8	6	1	2	0	8
KJ Tenner	G	23	4-5	0-0	0-0	2	4	2	1	8
Layne Taylor	G	17	2-6	1-4	2-2	3	3	0	0	7
JJ Traynor	F	22	3-4	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	1	6
Dylan Anderson	C	14	1-1	1-1	0-0	4	1	1	0	3
Mathis Courbon	G	19	0-2	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Brock Vice	F	1	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

66.3Possessions66.3

102.6Offensive Efficiency134.2

134.2Defensive Efficiency102.6

-31.7Net Efficiency31.7

45.9%Effective FG%63.2%

49.6%True Shooting %65.5%

21.0%Turnover Rate13.7%

26.2%Free Throw Rate40.4%

9.8%3-Point Rate52.6%

0.79Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Murray State won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 66.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.