Stephen F. Austin logo

Stephen F. Austin

28-6
GAME THAT MATTERSAT
71.9%Stephen F. Austin
28.1%Fresno State
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADStephen F. Austin -5.3
PROJECTED TOTAL145.1
MODEL MONEYLINEStephen F. Austin -256
Fresno State logo

Fresno State

13-19
MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreStephen F. Austin 75
Projected Total145.1
Projected ScoreFresno State 70

Team Comparison

60.1MMH Power Index47.1
114.3Offensive Efficiency104.9
99.4Defensive Efficiency104.9
14.9Net Efficiency0.0
-1.8Strength of Schedule1.5
4.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0
67.0Tempo69.4
52.2%Effective FG%51.3%
13.9%Turnover Rate18.2%
34.3%Offensive Rebound %28.2%
30.3%Free Throw Rate35.5%
10.0Average Margin0.0
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ

Stephen F. Austin HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.9%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
9–2
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMStephen F. Austin holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–47.1), offensive efficiency (114.3–104.9), defensive efficiency (99.4–104.9), net efficiency (14.9–0.0).
Fresno State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.5–-1.8), free throw rate (35.5–30.3).
Final
Stephen F. Austin logo
Stephen F. Austin
78—80
Fresno State logo
Fresno State
Fresno State by 2 • 68.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Stephen F. AustinTEAM STATFresno State
33-73FG32-54
45.0%FG%59.0%
9-293PT5-12
31.0%3PT%42.0%
3-6FT11-19
50.0%FT%58.0%
38Rebounds32
19Offensive Rebounds9
15Assists18
12Turnovers13
8Steals10
4Blocks2
16Fouls10

Player Box Score

Stephen F. Austin
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Lateef PatrickG3311-214-121-131100027
Keon ThompsonG335-161-42-286210013
Chrishawn ChristmasG296-100-00-361210012
Narit ChotikavanicG304-102-60-030300010
Gediminas AlisasF154-50-00-04300008
Kam BurtonG212-72-50-03100006
Jerald ColonelF251-20-00-08302002
Ahamed MohammedG100-00-00-00000000
Marcus ScurryG30-20-20-00000000
Christian GreenG10-00-00-00000000
Fresno State
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
DeShawn GoryF338-132-42-371400020
Zaon CollinsG358-120-02-537200018
Jake HeidbrederG384-101-52-334000011
DJ StickmanG244-61-11-283300010
Gasper KocevarC233-50-04-652020010
Wilson JacquesC153-40-00-02010006
Cameron FaasG171-21-20-01000003
Jac ManiF81-20-00-00000002
Bastien RieberG50-00-00-00100000
David Douglas Jr.G20-00-00-01000000

Advanced Game Stats

68.0Possessions68.0
114.7Offensive Efficiency117.6
117.6Defensive Efficiency114.7
-2.9Net Efficiency2.9
51.4%Effective FG%63.9%
51.4%True Shooting %63.5%
17.4%Turnover Rate19.4%
8.2%Free Throw Rate35.2%
39.7%3-Point Rate22.2%
1.25Assist / Turnover1.38
Game Summary
Fresno State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 68.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.