Troy

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.5%Troy

76.5%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -8.3

PROJECTED TOTAL152.5

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -326

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTroy 72

Projected Total152.5

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 80

Team Comparison

TroyMetricSan Diego State

54.1MMH Power Index60.1

112.6Offensive Efficiency110.3

103.9Defensive Efficiency99.3

8.7Net Efficiency11.0

-2.2Strength of Schedule3.8

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

70.4Tempo70.8

52.1%Effective FG%53.2%

17.1%Turnover Rate17.2%

35.3%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

36.8%Free Throw Rate39.6%

6.1Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–54.1), defensive efficiency (99.3–103.9), net efficiency (11.0–8.7), strength of schedule (3.8–-2.2).

Troy COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.6–110.3), recent form (2.0–0.4), ball security (17.1–17.2).

Final

Troy

108—107

San Diego State

Troy by 1 • 89.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TroyTEAM STATSan Diego State

32-72FG32-68

44.0%FG%47.0%

12-343PT9-23

35.0%3PT%39.0%

32-43FT34-48

74.0%FT%71.0%

41Rebounds50

17Offensive Rebounds20

15Assists18

13Turnovers20

12Steals9

1Blocks7

31Fouls29

Player Box Score

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Thomas Dowd	F	46	7-12	5-9	6-8	19	1	0	0	25
Victor Valdes	F	32	8-15	1-3	3-4	5	4	3	0	20
Cooper Campbell	G	43	5-18	2-8	4-4	0	4	1	1	16
Theo Seng	F	33	3-6	0-3	9-11	7	1	1	0	15
Cobi Campbell	G	30	3-7	2-5	1-2	0	2	2	0	9
Austin Cross	G	21	1-4	1-3	4-4	0	1	1	0	7
Kerrington Kiel	F	15	2-3	0-1	1-2	1	1	2	0	5
Javen Colbert	G	12	1-1	1-1	2-4	2	0	1	0	5
Jerrell Bellamy	C	11	1-2	0-0	2-4	3	1	0	0	4
Corbin Green	F	5	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Emmanuel Clarton	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Miles Byrd	G	37	7-12	4-8	6-7	3	3	0	1	24
Magoon Gwath	F	28	5-5	2-2	8-12	7	0	2	3	20
Reese Dixon-Waters	G	43	5-13	1-5	5-7	6	1	2	1	16
BJ Davis	G	24	3-12	1-3	8-8	1	3	2	1	15
Jeremiah Oden	F	21	3-5	1-3	4-6	5	1	1	0	11
Pharaoh Compton	F	10	3-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Miles Heide	F	21	2-5	0-0	0-2	9	0	0	1	4
Sean Newman Jr.	G	18	1-4	0-1	2-2	3	2	1	0	4
Elzie Harrington	G	14	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Taj DeGourville	G	29	1-7	0-1	1-4	5	6	1	0	3
Tae Simmons	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

89.6Possessions89.6

120.5Offensive Efficiency119.4

119.4Defensive Efficiency120.5

1.1Net Efficiency-1.1

52.8%Effective FG%53.7%

58.4%True Shooting %58.9%

14.7%Turnover Rate22.0%

59.7%Free Throw Rate70.6%

47.2%3-Point Rate33.8%

1.15Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Troy won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 89.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.