UC Riverside

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.2%UC Riverside

91.8%California Baptist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -16.3

PROJECTED TOTAL146.3

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -1120

California Baptist

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Riverside 65

Projected Total146.3

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 81

Team Comparison

UC RiversideMetricCalifornia Baptist

41.2MMH Power Index58.3

103.1Offensive Efficiency106.5

110.1Defensive Efficiency99.0

-7.0Net Efficiency7.5

0.5Strength of Schedule1.8

-5.1Last 10 Net Efficiency11.0

70.7Tempo68.2

49.8%Effective FG%48.8%

18.5%Turnover Rate17.9%

28.5%Offensive Rebound %37.0%

35.2%Free Throw Rate37.0%

-4.9Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–41.2), offensive efficiency (106.5–103.1), defensive efficiency (99.0–110.1), net efficiency (7.5–-7.0).

UC Riverside COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (49.8–48.8).

Final

UC Riverside

57—80

California Baptist

California Baptist by 23 • 76.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC RiversideTEAM STATCalifornia Baptist

22-61FG31-75

36.0%FG%41.0%

4-213PT3-16

19.0%3PT%19.0%

9-13FT15-23

69.0%FT%65.0%

38Rebounds50

12Offensive Rebounds23

8Assists8

22Turnovers12

8Steals12

6Blocks4

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

UC Riverside

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marqui Worthy Jr.	G	30	7-13	1-5	0-2	6	3	2	0	15
BJ Kolly	F	27	3-6	0-1	4-5	5	2	2	3	10
Andrew Henderson	G	33	3-11	1-4	2-3	4	0	0	2	9
Osiris Grady	F	26	4-12	0-2	1-1	4	0	1	0	9
Denzel Hines	F	18	2-5	0-1	0-0	5	0	1	0	4
Dylan Godfrey	F	16	1-5	1-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Tyler Jones	G	5	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
De'Undrae Perteete Jr.	G	24	1-3	0-1	0-0	5	1	1	0	2
Jailen Daniel-Dalton	F	12	0-2	0-1	2-2	1	0	1	0	2
Daniel Tobiloba	C	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Ben Waller	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
EJ Spillman	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	34	7-15	3-5	8-8	5	2	3	0	25
Jayden Jackson	G	31	4-12	0-4	4-5	5	2	2	0	12
Martel Williams	G	30	6-15	0-3	0-4	4	0	1	0	12
Jonathan Griman	F	22	5-11	0-2	0-0	7	0	1	3	10
Devon Malcolm	F	18	4-7	0-0	2-4	8	0	2	0	10
Thomas Ndong	F	22	3-8	0-1	0-0	9	1	1	1	6
Bradey Henige	F	12	1-4	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Nate Garcia	C	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jordan Muller	G	18	0-2	0-1	1-2	1	3	1	0	1
Monty Bowser	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Jalen Dollar	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.1Possessions76.1

74.9Offensive Efficiency105.1

105.1Defensive Efficiency74.9

-30.2Net Efficiency30.2

39.3%Effective FG%43.3%

42.4%True Shooting %46.6%

28.5%Turnover Rate16.0%

21.3%Free Throw Rate30.7%

34.4%3-Point Rate21.3%

0.36Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

California Baptist won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 76.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.