Harvard

17-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.4%Harvard

34.6%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHarvard -3.7

PROJECTED TOTAL145.5

MODEL MONEYLINEHarvard -189

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHarvard 75

Projected Total145.5

Projected ScorePenn State 71

Team Comparison

HarvardMetricPenn State

52.6MMH Power Index42.3

108.1Offensive Efficiency109.2

102.9Defensive Efficiency117.6

5.2Net Efficiency-8.4

-0.1Strength of Schedule5.3

8.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

64.8Tempo67.5

53.4%Effective FG%53.4%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.6%

26.3%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

27.9%Free Throw Rate34.6%

3.4Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Harvard HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHarvard holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.6–42.3), defensive efficiency (102.9–117.6), net efficiency (5.2–-8.4), recent form (8.3–-20.8).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.2–108.1), strength of schedule (5.3–-0.1), ball security (15.6–17.2).

Final

Harvard

80—84

Penn State

Penn State by 4 • 63.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

HarvardTEAM STATPenn State

30-57FG31-57

53.0%FG%54.0%

12-273PT5-19

44.0%3PT%26.0%

8-8FT17-25

100.0%FT%68.0%

25Rebounds28

9Offensive Rebounds13

21Assists12

13Turnovers7

4Steals9

3Blocks—

18Fouls12

Player Box Score

Harvard

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chandler Pigge	G	35	6-11	3-5	6-6	5	9	0	0	21
Thomas Batties III	F	34	6-12	5-7	0-0	3	6	0	1	17
Ben Eisendrath	G	37	6-7	1-2	2-2	1	2	1	1	15
Tey Barbour	G	37	5-9	2-5	0-0	7	1	1	1	12
Ryan Sullivan	F	7	3-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	6
Xavier Nesbitt	G	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Robert Hinton	G	17	1-7	0-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Frankie Mannino	G	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	3	0	0	2
Luca Ace-Nasteski	F	7	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Kenan Parrish	F	9	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Kayden Mingo	G	31	8-18	1-7	7-7	2	3	1	24
Josh Reed	F	27	4-5	0-1	6-10	5	0	3	14
Freddie Dilione V	G	27	5-10	1-1	2-2	2	2	0	13
Melih Tunca	G	29	4-6	0-1	2-2	2	6	3	10
Ivan Juric	F	30	3-3	1-1	0-4	9	0	0	7
Tibor Mirtic	F	15	3-3	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	6
Eli Rice	G	15	2-5	1-3	0-0	1	0	2	5
Dominick Stewart	G	18	1-5	1-5	0-0	1	0	0	3
Saša Ciani	F	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

63.9Possessions63.9

125.2Offensive Efficiency131.5

131.5Defensive Efficiency125.2

-6.3Net Efficiency6.3

63.2%Effective FG%58.8%

65.8%True Shooting %61.0%

20.1%Turnover Rate11.1%

14.0%Free Throw Rate43.9%

47.4%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.62Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

Penn State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 63.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.