William & Mary

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.2%William & Mary

64.8%Bowling Green

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBowling Green -6.0

PROJECTED TOTAL160.5

MODEL MONEYLINEBowling Green -184

Bowling Green

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWilliam & Mary 77

Projected Total160.5

Projected ScoreBowling Green 83

Team Comparison

William & MaryMetricBowling Green

53.8MMH Power Index54.7

112.5Offensive Efficiency112.6

105.2Defensive Efficiency99.1

7.3Net Efficiency13.5

-1.5Strength of Schedule-4.7

3.5Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

73.9Tempo72.2

55.3%Effective FG%53.4%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.9%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

45.3%Free Throw Rate38.7%

5.4Average Margin9.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bowling Green HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBowling Green holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.7–53.8), offensive efficiency (112.6–112.5), defensive efficiency (99.1–105.2), net efficiency (13.5–7.3).

William & Mary COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.5–-4.7), recent form (3.5–1.4), shooting efficiency (55.3–53.4).

Final

William & Mary

82—74

Bowling Green

William & Mary by 8 • 78.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

William & MaryTEAM STATBowling Green

26-56FG25-58

46.0%FG%43.0%

9-303PT3-19

30.0%3PT%16.0%

21-24FT21-27

88.0%FT%78.0%

35Rebounds34

8Offensive Rebounds10

19Assists12

18Turnovers18

11Steals12

5Blocks5

19Fouls21

Player Box Score

William & Mary

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tunde Vahlberg Fasasi	F	27	6-13	4-7	0-0	5	5	1	1	16
Chase Lowe	G	20	5-5	0-0	4-6	2	0	1	0	14
Kyle Pulliam	G	30	2-4	1-3	8-8	7	4	1	1	13
Reese Miller	G	27	3-8	2-4	2-3	4	2	1	0	10
Jhei-R Jones	G	20	2-4	2-4	2-2	5	2	2	0	8
Ryan Jackson Jr.	G	17	4-5	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	8
Jo'el Emanuel	F	20	3-3	0-0	1-1	3	1	1	0	7
Kilian Brockhoff	F	21	1-11	0-8	2-2	4	3	1	3	4
Cade Haskins	F	18	0-3	0-3	2-2	2	2	2	0	2

Bowling Green

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javontae Campbell	G	32	5-13	0-1	7-9	6	4	3	0	17
Josiah Shackelford	G	32	3-10	0-4	5-8	5	2	2	0	11
Justin Thomas	G	37	3-8	0-3	4-4	3	3	1	3	10
Sam Towns	F	35	4-9	0-2	2-2	8	0	0	0	10
Javon Ruffin	G	28	4-9	1-5	0-0	5	2	3	0	9
Mayar Wol	F	11	2-3	2-3	3-3	1	1	0	0	9
Troy Glover II	F	18	3-4	0-0	0-1	3	0	3	2	6
Camden Karel	F	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jason Kimbrough Jr.	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.1Possessions78.1

105.0Offensive Efficiency94.8

94.8Defensive Efficiency105.0

10.2Net Efficiency-10.2

54.5%Effective FG%45.7%

60.8%True Shooting %52.2%

23.3%Turnover Rate22.8%

42.9%Free Throw Rate46.6%

53.6%3-Point Rate32.8%

1.06Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

William & Mary won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 78.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.