Valparaiso

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

71.0%Valparaiso

29.0%Cleveland State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADValparaiso -5.0

PROJECTED TOTAL157.4

MODEL MONEYLINEValparaiso -245

Cleveland State

11-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreValparaiso 81

Projected Total157.4

Projected ScoreCleveland State 76

Team Comparison

ValparaisoMetricCleveland State

49.9MMH Power Index37.3

106.6Offensive Efficiency111.6

105.8Defensive Efficiency120.2

0.8Net Efficiency-8.6

0.3Strength of Schedule-1.7

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.6

67.5Tempo71.5

48.7%Effective FG%55.0%

15.6%Turnover Rate18.0%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %28.6%

40.0%Free Throw Rate38.7%

0.5Average Margin-6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Valparaiso HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMValparaiso holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–37.3), defensive efficiency (105.8–120.2), net efficiency (0.8–-8.6), strength of schedule (0.3–-1.7).

Cleveland State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.6–106.6), shooting efficiency (55.0–48.7).

Final

Valparaiso

90—75

Cleveland State

Valparaiso by 15 • 69.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ValparaisoTEAM STATCleveland State

34-63FG25-55

54.0%FG%45.0%

7-223PT6-25

32.0%3PT%24.0%

15-20FT19-23

75.0%FT%83.0%

39Rebounds23

13Offensive Rebounds5

15Assists9

9Turnovers9

6Steals3

7Blocks1

21Fouls18

Player Box Score

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rakim Chaney	G	38	9-12	3-4	2-4	4	7	1	1	23
Shon Tupuola	C	33	8-10	0-0	5-7	7	0	0	3	21
Justus McNair	G	26	8-15	1-5	4-4	6	2	3	1	21
Isaiah Barnes	G	32	4-9	0-3	3-3	3	1	0	0	11
JT Pettigrew	F	19	2-5	1-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	5
Carter Hopoi	F	21	1-6	1-3	0-0	7	3	1	2	3
Mark Brown Jr.	G	18	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
Sader Servilus	G	11	1-2	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	3
Kyonte Thomas	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Nick Lombardi	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cleveland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tre Beard	G	30	7-12	6-10	2-2	1	1	2	0	22
Chevalier Emery	G	18	4-7	0-2	6-8	2	1	0	0	14
Dayan Nessah	F	31	5-12	0-2	3-4	3	0	1	0	13
Preist Ryan	F	25	2-2	0-0	5-5	3	0	0	0	9
Josiah Harris	F	31	3-8	0-3	0-1	8	7	0	0	6
Lucas Burton	F	3	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Manny Hill	G	9	1-2	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	3
Foster Wonders	G	24	1-6	0-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Kamari Jones	G	7	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Holden Pierre-Louis	F	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Jaidon Lipscomb	G	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ivan Spirov	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.2Possessions69.2

130.1Offensive Efficiency108.4

108.4Defensive Efficiency130.1

21.7Net Efficiency-21.7

59.5%Effective FG%50.9%

62.1%True Shooting %56.9%

13.1%Turnover Rate12.9%

31.7%Free Throw Rate41.8%

34.9%3-Point Rate45.5%

1.67Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Valparaiso won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 69.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.