Bellarmine

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.0%Bellarmine

74.0%Notre Dame

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNotre Dame -8.1

PROJECTED TOTAL159.7

MODEL MONEYLINENotre Dame -285

Notre Dame

13-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBellarmine 76

Projected Total159.7

Projected ScoreNotre Dame 84

Team Comparison

BellarmineMetricNotre Dame

44.9MMH Power Index49.7

119.6Offensive Efficiency110.3

122.1Defensive Efficiency111.2

-2.5Net Efficiency-0.9

-2.8Strength of Schedule4.7

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.6

66.9Tempo68.0

60.0%Effective FG%53.0%

15.3%Turnover Rate17.0%

22.7%Offensive Rebound %31.4%

35.3%Free Throw Rate34.7%

-1.7Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Notre Dame HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNotre Dame holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.7–44.9), defensive efficiency (111.2–122.1), net efficiency (-0.9–-2.5), strength of schedule (4.7–-2.8).

Bellarmine COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (119.6–110.3), recent form (0.3–-11.6), shooting efficiency (60.0–53.0).

Final

Bellarmine

79—86

Notre Dame

Notre Dame by 7 • 69.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BellarmineTEAM STATNotre Dame

25-46FG28-49

54.0%FG%57.0%

7-223PT7-19

32.0%3PT%37.0%

22-27FT23-32

81.0%FT%72.0%

17Rebounds31

2Offensive Rebounds9

7Assists10

13Turnovers14

8Steals3

—Blocks1

22Fouls23

Player Box Score

Bellarmine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Brian Waddell	F	34	6-10	1-3	5-7	5	1	2	18
Jack Karasinski	F	29	6-9	2-5	3-5	4	0	1	17
Michael Wilson Jr.	F	29	4-6	2-4	7-8	0	0	1	17
Myles Watkins	G	21	4-6	1-2	2-2	3	3	0	11
Kenyon Goodin	G	33	3-4	1-2	3-3	2	2	0	10
Sam Donald	F	25	0-6	0-4	2-2	1	0	3	2
Darrius Bolden	G	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	2
Donovan Hunter	F	4	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	2
Grant Whitaker	G	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Tyler Doyle	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0

Notre Dame

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Markus Burton	G	31	10-13	2-4	3-3	1	4	1	0	25
Jalen Haralson	F	30	6-12	0-2	4-9	4	5	0	0	16
Carson Towt	F	29	4-6	0-0	4-6	11	0	0	0	12
Cole Certa	G	20	2-5	2-5	6-6	2	1	0	0	12
Braeden Shrewsberry	G	29	2-5	2-5	1-2	4	0	0	1	7
Logan Imes	G	13	2-3	1-2	1-2	2	0	0	0	6
Brady Koehler	F	13	2-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Kebba Njie	F	7	0-1	0-0	4-4	2	0	0	0	4
Sir Mohammed	G	18	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	2	0	0
Garrett Sundra	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.5Possessions69.5

113.7Offensive Efficiency123.7

123.7Defensive Efficiency113.7

-10.1Net Efficiency10.1

62.0%Effective FG%64.3%

67.1%True Shooting %67.0%

18.6%Turnover Rate20.2%

58.7%Free Throw Rate65.3%

47.8%3-Point Rate38.8%

0.54Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Notre Dame won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 69.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.