Dayton

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

58.4%Dayton

41.6%Marquette

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL148.5

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -140

Marquette

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDayton 75

Projected Total148.5

Projected ScoreMarquette 73

Team Comparison

DaytonMetricMarquette

59.9MMH Power Index52.3

108.5Offensive Efficiency106.0

101.5Defensive Efficiency106.9

7.0Net Efficiency-0.9

5.7Strength of Schedule4.2

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency3.5

68.3Tempo70.9

52.0%Effective FG%50.5%

16.9%Turnover Rate16.0%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %29.3%

47.6%Free Throw Rate33.8%

4.8Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–52.3), offensive efficiency (108.5–106.0), defensive efficiency (101.5–106.9), net efficiency (7.0–-0.9).

Marquette COUNTERS WITHball security (16.0–16.9), offensive rebounding (29.3–26.7).

Final

Dayton

77—71

Marquette

Dayton by 6 • 80.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DaytonTEAM STATMarquette

26-49FG25-65

53.0%FG%38.0%

7-173PT9-31

41.0%3PT%29.0%

18-26FT12-16

69.0%FT%75.0%

33Rebounds34

5Offensive Rebounds13

15Assists13

25Turnovers20

11Steals21

5Blocks2

17Fouls20

Player Box Score

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javon Bennett	G	33	6-13	1-6	6-8	1	4	3	0	19
De'Shayne Montgomery	G	42	8-11	2-3	0-0	3	0	3	0	18
Jordan Derkack	G	35	3-7	1-3	1-2	4	5	1	0	8
Malcolm Thomas	F	11	3-4	0-0	2-4	2	0	0	0	8
Keonte Jones	G	28	2-4	1-1	2-2	3	1	3	2	7
Jacob Conner	F	22	2-3	2-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	6
Amaël L'Etang	F	34	1-4	0-0	3-4	8	2	0	2	5
Jaiun Simon	F	11	1-1	0-0	3-4	4	1	1	1	5
Bryce Heard	G	9	0-2	0-2	1-2	1	1	0	0	1

Marquette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nigel James Jr.	G	38	5-16	2-8	6-6	3	5	4	0	18
Chase Ross	G	43	5-14	1-7	4-6	4	3	3	0	15
Zaide Lowery	G	35	4-10	2-7	0-0	3	1	3	0	10
Ben Gold	F	35	2-7	2-6	0-0	8	1	1	1	6
Caedin Hamilton	F	17	2-4	0-0	2-3	6	0	2	0	6
Tre Norman	G	12	3-4	0-0	0-1	1	1	4	0	6
Royce Parham	F	25	2-7	1-1	0-0	7	2	0	1	5
Adrien Stevens	G	17	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	4	0	5
Damarius Owens	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

80.5Possessions80.5

95.7Offensive Efficiency88.2

88.2Defensive Efficiency95.7

7.5Net Efficiency-7.5

60.2%Effective FG%45.4%

62.8%True Shooting %48.9%

30.7%Turnover Rate25.1%

53.1%Free Throw Rate24.6%

34.7%3-Point Rate47.7%

0.60Assist / Turnover0.65

Game Summary

Dayton won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 80.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.