Baylor

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.9%Baylor

84.1%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -11.2

PROJECTED TOTAL169.9

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -529

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBaylor 79

Projected Total169.9

Projected ScoreArkansas 91

Team Comparison

BaylorMetricArkansas

58.9MMH Power Index69.3

116.7Offensive Efficiency122.2

109.5Defensive Efficiency109.8

7.2Net Efficiency12.4

4.0Strength of Schedule8.6

-2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

69.7Tempo73.8

54.4%Effective FG%56.4%

16.4%Turnover Rate12.2%

37.5%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

34.8%Free Throw Rate36.5%

5.1Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–58.9), offensive efficiency (122.2–116.7), net efficiency (12.4–7.2), strength of schedule (8.6–4.0).

Baylor COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.5–109.8), offensive rebounding (37.5–31.8).

Final

Baylor

72—67

Arkansas

Baylor by 5 • 65.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BaylorTEAM STATArkansas

27-58FG24-58

47.0%FG%41.0%

7-243PT5-20

29.0%3PT%25.0%

11-17FT14-17

65.0%FT%82.0%

32Rebounds37

9Offensive Rebounds12

12Assists13

8Turnovers11

6Steals5

1Blocks6

16Fouls19

Player Box Score

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Nunn	Guard	35	6-13	4-7	0-0	2	0	3	0	16
Norchad Omier	Forward	29	7-10	0-1	1-2	12	1	0	0	15
Jeremy Roach	Guard	30	5-10	1-4	2-4	1	2	0	0	13
VJ Edgecombe	Guard	35	3-12	1-7	4-6	8	5	1	1	11
Robert Wright III	G	17	3-4	0-0	4-5	1	2	0	0	10
Josh Ojianwuna	F	20	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	4
Jalen Celestine	G	31	1-6	1-5	0-0	5	2	1	0	3
Jason Asemota	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adou Thiero	Forward	31	10-15	2-4	2-4	6	2	1	2	24
Boogie Fland	G	39	5-13	3-5	4-4	5	7	1	0	17
D.J. Wagner	G	38	4-10	0-3	0-0	4	1	1	1	8
Johnell Davis	Guard	21	2-9	0-5	4-4	3	1	0	0	8
Trevon Brazile	F	22	2-3	0-1	0-1	3	1	1	1	4
Billy Richmond III	G	12	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	1	4
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	17	0-3	0-0	2-2	5	0	1	1	2
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Karter Knox	G	10	0-3	0-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.1Possessions65.1

110.6Offensive Efficiency102.9

102.9Defensive Efficiency110.6

7.7Net Efficiency-7.7

52.6%Effective FG%45.7%

54.5%True Shooting %50.7%

12.3%Turnover Rate16.9%

29.3%Free Throw Rate29.3%

41.4%3-Point Rate34.5%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.18

Game Summary

Baylor won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 65.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.