Tarleton State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.2%Tarleton State

63.8%Rice

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADRice -3.7

PROJECTED TOTAL149.9

MODEL MONEYLINERice -176

Rice

13-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTarleton State 73

Projected Total149.9

Projected ScoreRice 77

Team Comparison

Tarleton StateMetricRice

44.6MMH Power Index45.1

103.2Offensive Efficiency108.3

101.6Defensive Efficiency109.2

1.6Net Efficiency-0.9

-2.3Strength of Schedule-2.2

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.3

72.2Tempo68.3

49.0%Effective FG%49.7%

19.9%Turnover Rate17.8%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %35.7%

42.8%Free Throw Rate34.7%

1.1Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Rice HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMRice holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.1–44.6), offensive efficiency (108.3–103.2), strength of schedule (-2.2–-2.3), recent form (-4.3–-6.7).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.6–109.2), net efficiency (1.6–-0.9), free throw rate (42.8–34.7).

Final

Tarleton State

90—74

Rice

Tarleton State by 16 • 74.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tarleton StateTEAM STATRice

34-58FG26-63

59.0%FG%41.0%

3-93PT11-30

33.0%3PT%37.0%

19-25FT11-24

76.0%FT%46.0%

40Rebounds34

8Offensive Rebounds14

15Assists16

13Turnovers14

11Steals6

6Blocks1

19Fouls22

Player Box Score

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dior Johnson	G	35	9-17	0-0	11-12	5	6	2	0	29
Chris Mpaka	F	34	10-16	0-0	2-6	7	0	2	2	22
Cam McDowell	G	27	7-11	2-5	3-3	3	1	1	0	19
Leroy Kelly IV	G	29	6-8	1-2	3-4	3	2	6	0	16
Kaia Isaac	G	35	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	6	0	1	2
Andy Sigiscar	F	5	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Ocypher Owens	F	23	0-0	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	2	0
Jordan Mizell	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Kade Douglas	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Rice

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Anderson	G	28	6-13	4-9	2-2	1	1	0	0	18
Jalen Smith	G	34	4-11	3-9	2-3	2	3	0	0	13
Trae Broadnax	G	32	4-6	2-2	3-4	7	6	1	1	13
Andrew Akuchie	F	20	4-5	0-0	0-4	9	1	1	0	8
Jimmy Oladokun Jr.	F	24	3-9	0-0	0-5	7	2	1	0	6
Cam Carroll	G	18	3-7	0-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	6
Dallas Hobbs	G	17	2-8	2-6	0-0	1	2	1	0	6
Eternity Eguagie	F	17	0-4	0-1	4-6	2	1	0	0	4
Stephen Giwa	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Bodey Howell	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.7Possessions74.7

120.5Offensive Efficiency99.1

99.1Defensive Efficiency120.5

21.4Net Efficiency-21.4

61.2%Effective FG%50.0%

64.4%True Shooting %49.7%

17.4%Turnover Rate18.8%

43.1%Free Throw Rate38.1%

15.5%3-Point Rate47.6%

1.15Assist / Turnover1.14

Game Summary

Tarleton State won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 74.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.