Central Arkansas

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.3%Central Arkansas

57.7%North Texas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Texas -2.8

PROJECTED TOTAL148.1

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Texas -136

North Texas

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 73

Projected Total148.1

Projected ScoreNorth Texas 75

Team Comparison

Central ArkansasMetricNorth Texas

54MMH Power Index52.2

113.9Offensive Efficiency104.1

105.2Defensive Efficiency99.1

8.7Net Efficiency5.0

-3.9Strength of Schedule-1.3

9.8Last 10 Net Efficiency4.8

71.0Tempo68.1

54.3%Effective FG%47.6%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.7%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

30.7%Free Throw Rate41.1%

6.1Average Margin3.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–52.2), offensive efficiency (113.9–104.1), net efficiency (8.7–5.0), recent form (9.8–4.8).

North Texas COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.1–105.2), strength of schedule (-1.3–-3.9), offensive rebounding (33.6–29.6).

Final

Central Arkansas

56—74

North Texas

North Texas by 18 • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ArkansasTEAM STATNorth Texas

16-48FG22-54

33.0%FG%41.0%

6-243PT3-18

25.0%3PT%17.0%

18-32FT27-32

56.0%FT%84.0%

37Rebounds38

13Offensive Rebounds11

8Assists13

19Turnovers10

5Steals13

3Blocks1

24Fouls25

Player Box Score

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Camren Hunter	G	27	3-13	2-5	4-6	4	0	2	0	12
Luke Moore	G	31	2-6	1-3	3-8	2	3	0	0	8
Javion Guy-King	G	13	2-7	0-3	4-6	5	2	0	0	8
Cole McCormick	F	31	1-4	1-4	3-4	8	1	2	0	6
Harry Beauchamp	G	20	2-4	2-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Malchiah Marable	F	21	2-2	0-0	1-3	4	1	0	3	5
Ty Robinson	G	24	1-5	0-4	2-2	3	0	1	0	4
Tyler Lee	G	13	1-4	0-1	1-3	2	0	0	0	3
Truman Byrne	F	15	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Parker Applegate	G	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Ethan Thomas	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

North Texas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josiah Shackleford	F	15	6-8	0-0	3-4	3	1	2	0	15
David Terrell Jr.	G	34	2-6	1-3	8-10	6	4	2	0	13
Je'Shawn Stevenson	G	30	2-11	0-6	9-9	6	2	2	0	13
Reece Robinson	F	24	4-6	0-0	2-2	9	3	3	0	10
Cole Franklin	G	28	3-6	1-2	2-2	3	0	0	0	9
Dylan Arnett	F	25	4-6	0-0	1-3	7	2	1	0	9
Cahmai Crosby	G	11	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Demarion Watson	G	19	0-4	0-1	2-2	0	1	1	1	2
Curtis Stinson Jr.	G	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
EJ Horton	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

81.5Offensive Efficiency107.7

107.7Defensive Efficiency81.5

-26.2Net Efficiency26.2

39.6%Effective FG%43.5%

44.3%True Shooting %53.5%

27.5%Turnover Rate14.7%

66.7%Free Throw Rate59.3%

50.0%3-Point Rate33.3%

0.42Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

North Texas won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.