Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.5%Cal Poly

55.5%Utah

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL165.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah -125

Utah

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 81

Projected Total165.0

Projected ScoreUtah 84

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricUtah

46.5MMH Power Index43.9

107.2Offensive Efficiency108.8

111.0Defensive Efficiency115.8

-3.8Net Efficiency-7.0

1.7Strength of Schedule5.1

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.3

76.6Tempo68.3

52.2%Effective FG%52.3%

19.8%Turnover Rate16.7%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

35.8%Free Throw Rate32.2%

-2.9Average Margin-4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal Poly HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal Poly holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.5–43.9), defensive efficiency (111.0–115.8), net efficiency (-3.8–-7.0), recent form (2.4–-16.3).

Utah COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.8–107.2), strength of schedule (5.1–1.7), shooting efficiency (52.3–52.2).

Final

Cal Poly

92—85

Utah

Cal Poly by 7 • 83.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATUtah

30-60FG29-63

50.0%FG%46.0%

14-253PT9-27

56.0%3PT%33.0%

18-31FT18-22

58.0%FT%82.0%

42Rebounds32

10Offensive Rebounds6

13Assists18

19Turnovers16

8Steals7

5Blocks5

21Fouls26

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cayden Ward	G	33	9-14	3-5	7-11	8	1	0	0	28
Hamad Mousa	G	26	8-13	4-4	6-9	3	1	1	0	26
Guzman Vasilic	G	25	4-8	4-6	1-2	2	3	1	0	13
Peter Bandelj	G	33	4-13	2-5	1-2	4	5	3	1	11
Jake Davis	G	21	2-5	1-3	3-7	4	2	2	1	8
Ali Assran	F	21	2-2	0-0	0-0	8	1	0	2	4
Kieran Elliott	G	21	1-2	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	0	2
Troy Plumtree	F	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Austin Goode	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jason Scott	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Utah

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrence Brown	G	35	11-18	2-5	5-6	1	3	1	1	29
Don McHenry	G	31	5-14	1-5	5-5	2	2	2	0	16
Keanu Dawes	F	30	3-5	1-2	3-3	9	2	0	1	10
Seydou Traore	F	23	3-8	2-6	1-2	5	4	2	1	9
Jacob Patrick	G	18	2-6	2-6	1-1	0	0	1	0	7
Kendyl Sanders	F	14	3-4	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	7
Josh Hayes	F	13	2-3	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	2	6
James Okonkwo	F	15	0-2	0-0	1-3	3	0	1	0	1
Obomate Abbey	G	21	0-3	0-1	0-0	3	5	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

83.6Possessions83.6

110.0Offensive Efficiency101.7

101.7Defensive Efficiency110.0

8.4Net Efficiency-8.4

61.7%Effective FG%53.2%

61.6%True Shooting %57.9%

22.7%Turnover Rate19.2%

51.7%Free Throw Rate34.9%

41.7%3-Point Rate42.9%

0.68Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Cal Poly won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 83.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.