Mississippi State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.3%Mississippi State

68.7%Kansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADKansas State -6.1

PROJECTED TOTAL165.0

MODEL MONEYLINEKansas State -219

Kansas State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi State 79

Projected Total165.0

Projected ScoreKansas State 86

Team Comparison

Mississippi StateMetricKansas State

44.6MMH Power Index47.1

107.4Offensive Efficiency107.8

113.2Defensive Efficiency110.9

-5.8Net Efficiency-3.1

5.0Strength of Schedule5.5

-17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.3

72.3Tempo73.8

51.6%Effective FG%53.5%

16.1%Turnover Rate17.4%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %29.4%

30.9%Free Throw Rate27.4%

-4.2Average Margin-2.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Kansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMKansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.1–44.6), offensive efficiency (107.8–107.4), defensive efficiency (110.9–113.2), net efficiency (-3.1–-5.8).

Mississippi State COUNTERS WITHball security (16.1–17.4), offensive rebounding (29.8–29.4), free throw rate (30.9–27.4).

Final

Mississippi State

77—98

Kansas State

Kansas State by 21 • 75.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi StateTEAM STATKansas State

26-60FG37-73

43.0%FG%51.0%

7-253PT14-30

28.0%3PT%47.0%

18-23FT10-11

78.0%FT%91.0%

34Rebounds38

9Offensive Rebounds12

11Assists22

14Turnovers8

3Steals5

5Blocks4

14Fouls19

Player Box Score

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	32	7-15	1-6	8-9	2	2	0	1	23
Jayden Epps	G	20	6-11	4-7	2-2	2	1	0	0	18
Quincy Ballard	C	19	5-7	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	1	10
Achor Achor	F	24	1-5	1-3	2-2	9	0	0	0	5
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	21	1-4	0-3	2-2	6	2	1	2	4
King Grace	G	15	2-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Brandon Walker	F	4	2-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Sergej Macura	F	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Amier Ali	G	4	0-1	0-1	3-4	0	0	0	0	3
Jamarion Davis-Fleming	F	17	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	1	2
Ja'Borri McGhee	G	30	0-5	0-1	1-4	0	4	0	0	1
Dellquan Warren	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Kansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
P.J. Haggerty	G	34	13-21	4-7	7-8	7	8	2	0	37
Nate Johnson	G	29	6-11	2-5	0-0	4	4	2	0	14
Abdi Bashir Jr.	G	22	4-10	4-6	0-0	4	0	0	0	12
David Castillo	G	24	3-7	1-2	2-2	3	2	0	0	9
Khamari McGriff	F	17	4-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	1	8
Andrej Kostic	F	16	2-6	2-5	1-1	2	2	0	0	7
Elias Rapieque	F	19	1-6	1-4	0-0	2	2	0	1	3
Mobi Ikegwuruka	G	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	2
Dorin Buca	C	11	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Stephen Osei	F	3	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Taj Manning	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
C.J. Jones	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.1Possessions75.1

102.5Offensive Efficiency130.5

130.5Defensive Efficiency102.5

-28.0Net Efficiency28.0

49.2%Effective FG%60.3%

54.3%True Shooting %62.6%

18.4%Turnover Rate10.8%

38.3%Free Throw Rate15.1%

41.7%3-Point Rate41.1%

0.79Assist / Turnover2.75

Game Summary

Kansas State won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 75.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.