Troy

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

53.4%Troy

46.6%USC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTroy -0.2

PROJECTED TOTAL157.5

MODEL MONEYLINETroy -115

USC

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTroy 79

Projected Total157.5

Projected ScoreUSC 79

Team Comparison

TroyMetricUSC

54.1MMH Power Index48.3

112.6Offensive Efficiency108.5

103.9Defensive Efficiency107.6

8.7Net Efficiency0.9

-2.2Strength of Schedule2.5

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.0

70.4Tempo72.4

52.1%Effective FG%50.7%

17.1%Turnover Rate17.2%

35.3%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

36.8%Free Throw Rate45.3%

6.1Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Troy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTroy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–48.3), offensive efficiency (112.6–108.5), defensive efficiency (103.9–107.6), net efficiency (8.7–0.9).

USC COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.5–-2.2), free throw rate (45.3–36.8).

Final

Troy

106—107

USC

USC by 1 • 100.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TroyTEAM STATUSC

35-87FG32-75

40.0%FG%43.0%

11-323PT9-29

34.0%3PT%31.0%

25-35FT34-46

71.0%FT%74.0%

63Rebounds39

25Offensive Rebounds7

18Assists23

20Turnovers13

7Steals10

3Blocks12

33Fouls26

Player Box Score

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cooper Campbell	G	47	10-19	6-9	6-7	12	8	2	0	32
Victor Valdes	F	40	9-24	1-6	5-5	5	3	2	1	24
Theo Seng	F	38	8-14	1-3	3-6	8	0	0	0	20
Thomas Dowd	F	51	6-16	2-7	5-7	12	2	2	1	19
Jerrell Bellamy	C	10	2-3	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Corbin Green	F	5	0-0	0-0	3-4	3	1	0	1	3
Kerrington Kiel	F	41	0-4	0-1	2-2	8	3	1	0	2
Javen Colbert	G	9	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Austin Cross	G	20	0-3	0-3	0-2	2	1	0	0	0
Cobi Campbell	G	11	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Emmanuel Clarton	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	53	10-22	3-10	11-12	9	2	1	5	34
Rodney Rice	G	52	6-19	2-9	12-15	1	9	3	0	26
Ezra Ausar	F	28	8-11	0-0	6-9	7	0	1	0	22
Amarion Dickerson	G	34	3-7	1-4	2-4	3	3	1	2	9
Jerry Easter II	G	32	2-5	1-2	2-2	8	3	2	4	7
Jordan Marsh	G	16	2-4	2-2	0-0	1	5	0	0	6
Jacob Cofie	F	33	1-3	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	2
Terrance Williams II	F	16	0-2	0-1	1-2	1	0	1	0	1
Gabe Dynes	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	0	1	0	0
Jaden Brownell	F	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

100.8Possessions100.8

105.2Offensive Efficiency106.2

106.2Defensive Efficiency105.2

-1.0Net Efficiency1.0

46.6%Effective FG%48.7%

51.1%True Shooting %55.2%

20.3%Turnover Rate12.6%

40.2%Free Throw Rate61.3%

36.8%3-Point Rate38.7%

0.90Assist / Turnover1.77

Game Summary

USC won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 100.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.