Kansas State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.1%Kansas State

93.9%Nebraska

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNebraska -18.4

PROJECTED TOTAL154.7

MODEL MONEYLINENebraska -1539

Nebraska

28-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreKansas State 68

Projected Total154.7

Projected ScoreNebraska 87

Team Comparison

Kansas StateMetricNebraska

47.1MMH Power Index67

107.8Offensive Efficiency114.4

110.9Defensive Efficiency98.3

-3.1Net Efficiency16.1

5.5Strength of Schedule6.1

-14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency6.8

73.8Tempo67.3

53.5%Effective FG%55.6%

17.4%Turnover Rate14.4%

29.4%Offensive Rebound %26.3%

27.4%Free Throw Rate26.9%

-2.3Average Margin10.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Nebraska HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNebraska holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.0–47.1), offensive efficiency (114.4–107.8), defensive efficiency (98.3–110.9), net efficiency (16.1–-3.1).

Kansas State COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (29.4–26.3), free throw rate (27.4–26.9).

Final

Kansas State

85—86

Nebraska

Nebraska by 1 • 75.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Kansas StateTEAM STATNebraska

27-62FG33-61

44.0%FG%54.0%

12-353PT8-32

34.0%3PT%25.0%

19-22FT12-20

86.0%FT%60.0%

32Rebounds32

9Offensive Rebounds8

19Assists16

13Turnovers12

5Steals6

2Blocks—

17Fouls17

Player Box Score

Kansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
P.J. Haggerty	G	37	11-21	1-5	4-5	6	7	0	0	27
Abdi Bashir Jr.	G	30	7-15	7-15	5-5	3	2	1	0	26
Nate Johnson	G	37	4-10	2-6	2-2	5	4	0	0	12
Khamari McGriff	F	27	3-3	0-0	2-2	4	1	1	2	8
David Castillo	G	20	1-6	1-5	5-6	2	2	1	0	8
Elias Rapieque	F	18	1-2	1-1	1-2	5	2	1	0	4
C.J. Jones	G	18	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Mobi Ikegwuruka	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Andrej Kostic	F	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dorin Buca	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Nebraska

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Pryce Sandfort	F	33	8-17	5-14	0-0	3	1	2	21
Rienk Mast	F	32	6-11	0-3	8-10	4	3	0	20
Braden Frager	F	20	7-10	2-5	0-0	6	0	1	16
Sam Hoiberg	G	31	6-6	0-0	1-4	3	4	3	13
Jamarques Lawrence	G	33	3-5	1-3	0-0	1	5	0	7
Berke Buyuktuncel	F	21	2-9	0-5	1-2	8	0	0	5
Cale Jacobsen	G	22	1-1	0-0	2-4	5	3	0	4
Connor Essegian	G	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.5Possessions75.5

112.6Offensive Efficiency113.9

113.9Defensive Efficiency112.6

-1.3Net Efficiency1.3

53.2%Effective FG%60.7%

58.7%True Shooting %61.0%

17.0%Turnover Rate16.1%

35.5%Free Throw Rate32.8%

56.5%3-Point Rate52.5%

1.46Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Nebraska won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 75.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.